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Tigers vs. Twins Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, August 3 (Joe Ryan Gets Back on Track)

By Joe Summers

The Twins have three straight home wins behind Joe Ryan ahead of today's matchup with Detroit
The Twins have three straight home wins behind Joe Ryan ahead of today's matchup with Detroit / Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
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Minnesota is officially all-in on 2022, acquiring All-Star closer Jorge Lopez from the Orioles at the deadline yesterday. The Twins have a narrow lead in the AL Central but hope to take advantage of a winnable matchup against the Detroit Tigers with Joe Ryan facing Tyler Alexander.

Ryan is coming off an embarrassing disaster of a performance, giving up 10 runs to the Padres in just 4.2 innings. Prior to that debacle though, he'd allowed more than three runs just twice in 15 starts.

Alexander is a reliever but will make his sixth start of the year due to injury. Things haven't gone well in those outings, as Alexander has a 7.76 ERA as a starter and Detroit lost each game.

Can the Tigers play spoiler or will Minnesota's quest to the playoffs march on? Let's take a peak at the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find out:

Tigers vs Twins Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Tigers +1.5 (-115)
  • Twins -1.5 (-105)

Moneyline:

  • Tigers: +185
  • Twins: -205

Total:

  • 8.5 (Over -115/Under -105)

Tigers vs Twins Prediction and Pick

The Twins have MLB's fifth-best OPS against left-handed pitchers over the last three weeks and I'm expecting a big day from their lineup against Tyler Alexander. A former second-round pick, Alexander has been dreadful as a starter and his MLB Statcast Pitching Profile illustrates his struggles:

That won't do. Especially against Joe Ryan, who I trust to bounce back after last week's disastrous outing against San Diego. Ryan has a 3.05 ERA at home, where the Twins have three straight wins behind him.

Heading into yesterday's slate, the Tigers were 2-13 in their last 15 as road favorites. With a lineup that ranks 29th in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last three weeks, I don't see Detroit pulling off the upset.

Back Minnesota on the run line to take advantage of Alexander's struggles while Ryan rebounds in a stellar outing.

Pick: Twins -1.5 (-105)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

Home/MLB Odds