Tigers vs. Twins Prediction and Odds for Monday, May 23 (Minnesota Extends Winning Streak as Home Favorite)

The 25-16 Minnesota Twins scored seven runs in the final two innings to rally and beat the Royals yesterday; extending their winning streak to four games. They'll try to keep the good times rolling as they open a three-game series with the 14-26 Detroit Tigers tonight at 7:40 PM EST.

Detroit beat Cleveland yesterday to snap a three-game losing streak but their roster is being held together by chewed gum and duct tape. Every pitcher who began the year on their starting rotation has suffered an injury, and they'll pray the injury bug doesn't bite again with Beau Brieske today.

Brieske suffered his worst outing of the season against Tampa Bay last week, allowing six runs and nine hits in 5.1 innings in a loss. On the year, he's 0-3 with a 5.13 ERA through five starts.

Minnesota will counter with Chris Archer, who is also seeking his first win of the campaign. He has a 4.10 ERA but is averaging fewer than four innings a start, putting significant pressure on the Twins bullpen.

Will either struggling pitcher earn their first victory of 2022 today? Can Minnesota win a fifth straight or will Detroit notch a much-needed road win? Should bettors look to the total for value instead of a side?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help answer those questions ahead of this Tigers vs Twins matchup:

Tigers vs Twins Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

• Tigers +1.5 (-120)
• Twins -1.5 (+100)

Moneyline:

• Tigers: +177
• Twins: -195

Total:

• 8.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

Tigers vs Twins Prediction and Pick

It's hard to have faith in either pitcher. Brieske is in the 13th percentile in expected ERA and fifth in strikeout percentage, and his 6.67 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) implies he's been lucky to amass only an ERA of 5.13.

Meanwhile, Archer's 5.83 FIP suggests the same of his 4.10 ERA. He's in the 18th percentile in expected ERA which is technically an improvement over Brieske, but I'm not exactly excited about it. Archer struggles with command, ranking in the 14th percentile in walk rate, but Detroit averages the third-fewest walks per game in MLB and the lowest of anyone on the road.

I have no faith in either pitcher and no faith in Detroit's lineup. Where does that leave us? Minnesota's batters are 16th in OPS against right-handed pitchers, but what does it say when the best part of a matchup is a unit that's still below average?

It says to trust the trends. The Twins have won 11 consecutive games as a home favorite while Detroit is 3-13 in their last 16 as a road underdog. Seven of Minnesota's 11 wins and nine of the Tigers' losses have come by multiple runs, so I love the value on the Twins to win on the run line.

I'll back the Twins to win their 12th straight as a home favorite and fifth straight overall. If any lineup is capable of making Archer look like a quality starting pitcher again, it's Detroit's.

Pick: Twins -1.5 (+100)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.