Tigers vs. White Sox Prediction and Odds for Sunday, August 14 (Lynn's Struggles Could Sink Chicago)
By Josh Yourish
If you’re living on the south side of Chicago, run to your closets and get your brooms out. It’s not just a Sunday cleaning, it is a chance for the Chicago White Sox' first sweep since the first three days of July.
The Detroit Tigers have lost six straight and have Tyler Alexander on the mound to try and stop the skid. Lance Lynn goes for Chicago making his 12th start of the season.
The White Sox are 58-56 just two games back of the final Wild Card spot and 2.5 behind Cleveland for the division.
You can find odds for this AL Central matchup at WynnBET Sportsbook.
Tigers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line
- Tigers +1.5 (-120)
- White Sox -1.5 (+100)
Moneyline
- Tigers +180
- White Sox -200
Total
- 8.0 (Over -115 / Under -105)
Tigers vs. White Sox Prediction and Pick
The biggest issue with getting the brooms out if you are a White Sox fan is Lance Lynn. The veteran right-hander is 2-5 with a 5.88 ERA and is turning things around slower than the Titanic. Ironically, he might be the iceberg that ultimately sinks the White Sox' postseason hopes.
Chicago is playing better baseball lately, finding themselves back in the race for one of the most mediocre divisions in baseball. However, it looks like Lynn will keep making regular starts and despite a few decent outings, he has not been up to snuff this year. He has been worth -0.7 wins above replacement, is in the bottom 15% of the league in expected slugging, and allows a weighted on base average well above league average.
The only real sign of life is Lynn’s fastball, which he heavily relies on; it finally has a negative run value, just at -1, but a step in the right direction. Lynn’s four-seamer has previously been one of the best pitches in baseball with a run value of -32 in 2019.
Tyler Alexander provides a small advantage on the mound as he has pitched well in his last two starts and has a sub-four ERA, but Detroit is 1-9 in their last ten and it is hard to back a team struggling that badly.
Seven of Lynn’s 11 starts this season have gone over eight runs, and while Detroit has an awful offense, plenty of bad teams have done damage against Lance Lynn in 2022. Chicago may pull off the sweep, but it will be because of their lineup, not the man on the mound.
LEAN: Over 8.0 (-115)
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