Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction and Odds for Sunday, October 30 (Total Too High in San Antonio)

Minnesota Timberwolves guard D'Angelo Russell.
Minnesota Timberwolves guard D'Angelo Russell. / Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

The NBA’s schedule makers must’ve loved the San Antonio Spurs-Minnesota Timberwolves matchups heading into the season, because the teams are playing for the third time in seven games to start the 2022-23 campaign. 

The first matchup resulted in a nine-point Spurs win on the road. The second was a 12-point Minnesota victory. With both of the first two games being played in Minnesota, San Antonio plays host on Sunday night. 

The Spurs are still dogs in this game, but they’ve really impressed a lot of people to start this season by getting out to a 4-2 start. Devin Vassell is likely out for this game, which hurts the Spurs’ ceiling offensively, but they did beat the Chicago Bulls without him in their last game. 

Here are the latest odds for this matchup: 

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds, Spread and Total

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction and Pick

These two teams love to run, playing at the No. 3 and No. 4 pace in the NBA so far this season. 

The Spurs have been a much better offense, ranking ninth in offensive rating to Minnesota’s 19th, and San Antonio has cleared the total in this game three times in six games this season. 

Despite that, I’m going to take the UNDER in this early-season matchup. 

Minnesota ranks fifth in the NBA in defensive rating (San Antonio is 25th), and the Wolves have only cleared this number twice this season, with one of the games going to OT. 

The combined scores in the first two games between these teams were 221 and 256. However, there were things in the second matchup that won’t hold up again. 

In that game, the Wolves shot a shocking 58.8 percent from 3 (20-for-34). The Spurs nearly matched them, hitting 44.4 percent of their 3-point shots. On the season, Minnesota is shooting just 34.3 percent from beyond the arc. 

I believe in this Wolves defense to improve in this game, and I don’t think both teams shoot the lights out for a second straight matchup. The closer this gets to 240, the more I love the UNDER. 

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.