Tom Brady Will Pass the NFL All-Time Passing Record vs. Patriots, But What About His Passing Yards Prop?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady makes his return to Foxborough on Sunday Night Football. Brady has 80,291passing yards in his career, just 68 passing yards behind the all-time passing yards mark in the NFL, currently held by former New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees with 80,358.

Brady is guaranteed to surpass the all-time passing yards record in front of his old fanbase, but can he surpass his passing yards prop against the New England Patriots defense?

WynnBET Sportsbook has set Brady’s passing yards prop at 306.5 (Over -120/Under -110). In the first three games, the Patriots have faced some mediocre quarterbacks, considering the rest of the talent peppered across the league. 

Quarterbacks Performance Against the Patriots

• Week 1, New England allowed just 202 passing yards to Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. 

• Week 2, the Patriots allowed just 210 passing yards to New York Jets rookie quarterback Zach Wilson. 

• Week 3, New England allowed just 128 passing yards to New Orleans Saints quarterback Jameis Winston.

So, is the Patriots’ defense that good or are the quarterbacks that they have faced that bad?

One might expect Brady to put up big numbers in his old stomping grounds in New England; some kind of revenge game against Bill Belichick and the Pats. While the Buccaneers have the 31st-ranked rushing offense, they are facing a New England defense that has had some issues in the ground game.

The Patriots allowed 152 rushing yards to the Jets in Week 2, and 142 rushing yards to the Saints in Week 3. I could actually see Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones getting a lot of work this week after Brady attempted 55 passes in the Tampa Bay loss to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3.

Brady will have more passing yards over any quarterback in NFL history after Sunday, but I’ll say he has under 306.5 passing yards in Week 4.

Over or under 306.5 passing yards for Tom Brady against the Patriots?

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