We are one week away from NFL football being back in our lives, as the Las Vegas Raiders and the Jacksonville Jaguars will face off in the Hall of Fame Game.
This game is the first taste of real football we’ve had since February, so rushing to bet on the game just feels like a great way to kick-off the season. However, these are preseason games and the starters likely won’t play more than a series or two. So, how do we handicap these wildly unpredictable games? Let’s dive into some Hall of Fame Game trends.
Favorites Are Dominant In the Last 2 Decades
Since 2002, there’s been 16 HOF games. Favorites are 13-3 SU and 10-4-2 ATS in that span. Last year, the Steelers beat the Cowboys 16-3 as 2-point favorites. This year, the Raiders are slight favorites, laying 1.5-points against the Jaguars. Since 2010, there’s only one game that’s been decided by a single point, making the Raiders ATS the play to make if you’re on their side. Otherwise, take the Jags and hope for a rare upset.
UNDERs are Consistent Winners
The UNDER has cashed in seven of the last nine HOF games. The total is set at 33 with -115 juice on both sides. Since 2010, only three teams have scored more than 20 points. This game is going to be a glorified scrimmage – even more than normal preseason games. The Jaguars may leave their starters out on the field longer simply because they are a younger team and need more reps, but don’t expect to see a shootout on August 4th.
Double Down on Live Bets
There isn’t a lot of anticipated action for this game and there is normally a consistent game flow throughout. Since 2008, only one team that was trailing at halftime has comeback to win the game. If you’re going to live bet this game, doubling down on the halftime leader is the way to go. Furthermore, this is a good way to double dip on your moneyline bet with a first half moneyline winner.
You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.