Top College Football Odds and Best Bets Today (Central Michigan Moves from Short Home Dog to Favorite vs. Buffalo)
It's another 3-game set of MACtion in college football this Wednesday, as six more teams kickoff at 7 p.m. ET, four of which go down in the great state of Michigan.
The Northern Illinois Huskies (2-7, 1-4) head to Kalamazoo and Waldo Stadium for a matchup against the Broncos of Western Michigan(3-6, 2-3), as several books are split between these two struggling squads.
The Huskies, for what it's worth, are 3-6-0 against the spread (ATS), with all three ATS victories coming on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Broncos are 4-5-0 ATS this season, but only one of those four wins have come at home.
Meanwhile, a few hours away in Mt. Pleasant, the Central Michigan Chippewas (3-6) welcome the Buffalo Bulls (5-4, 4-1) to town, as Buffalo trails Ohio in the MAC East by a game for the top spot.
Similar to the previous game, the Bulls have the bulk of their covers on the road this season, going 4-1-1 ATS, while the Chippewas have yet to cover a spread at home in four games; going 0-3-1.
Lastly, the Kent State Flashes look for their first road victory of the season as a 2.5-point dog at Bowling Green. Kent State is on a five-game ATS losing streak, while the Falcons have struggled in mid-week matchups; failing to cover in five consecutive Wednesday games.
BetSided's Reed Wallach and Josh Yourish broke down all three games and shared their best bets at the beginning of the week which you can find in our College Football Expert Picks and Predictions page here.
Let's go through each matchup, and break down the right side to be on this Wednesday:
Northern Illinois vs. Western Michigan Odds, Prediction and Pick
This is a battle of two very limited offenses.
NIU has gone through several different options at quarterback with starter Rocky Lombardi dealing with injuries along with his backup Ethan Hampton. Last week, freshman Nevan Cremascoli only completed 39% of his passes and threw for 158 yards. Depending on who plays, those numbers could be worse against a WMU defense allowing less than four yards per attempt, and 5.9 yards per play overall.
The Broncos' offense is even worse; ranked 123rd in yards per play this year and come off a 13-9 loss to Bowling Green in the process.
I got this total at 50 earlier this week, and given the uncertain status of NIU's quarterback situation, I'll play the under
Buffalo vs. Central Michigan Odds, Prediction and Pick
The Chippewas come off a 35-22 victory at NIU, outgaining the Huskies 451-316 in the process.
A key reason for their success last week was the availability of running back Lew Nichols III, who ran for 92 yards in his return. They'll need their improved offense humming against Buffalo, and more importantly, cannot turn the ball over. The Bulls rank 12th best in the country in forcing turnovers this season.
Meanwhile, for a team just one game back of the top spot in the standings, Buffalo has relied a great deal on their ability to force turnovers, and less on their defense that gave up 45 points on the road to Ohio the week before. They give up lots of yards, ranked 116th in the country in yards-per-play, but also rank 30th in points allowed per drive.
At some point, those big plays will translate to points, and I'll take CMU on the moneyline at home.
Get all of Reed's college football plays HERE!
Kent State vs. Bowling Green Odds, Prediction and Pick
There's something that feels a bit fraudulent with this Bowling Green team. They're 4-1 in conference play, yet still find themselves as a home underdog to a 3-6 Kent State squad.
Maybe the overall numbers give a better indication for where the oddsmakers set the lines. Kent State has the 40th best total offense in college football, while Bowling Green comes in at 109 with both defenses ranked outside the top 100.
Marquez Cooper has been a beast this year for the 18th best rush offense in the nation, averaging just under 5 yards a carry for over 1,000 and nine touchdowns this year. That's bad news for Bowling Green's defense which allows 157.1 yards on the ground per game.
The records get closer to evening up tonight. Take the favorite in Kent State. - Josh Yourish
PICK: Kent State -2.5 (-110)
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change