Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today, June 10 (Trust Pitchers like Pablo Lopez on Friday)
By Reed Wallach
Every team is in action across Major League Baseball on Friday, and the BetSided team has you covered with three bets for the loaded slate.
Keep reading to find our best MLB bets for Friday, June 10th, with odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook, and focusing on some lockdown pitching.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Prediction and Pick
While the Diamondbacks are awful, they are not without any weapons to fight back with. One of their best is Zac Gallen who enters this game at 4-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 39 innings. Gallen’s ERA would be below 2.00 if it weren't for one horrific game against a very bad Royals team a few weeks back. Other than that six-run disaster, Gallen hasn’t given up more than two earned runs all year. He pitched five straight shutouts to start the season and posted a gross 0.60 ERA in April.
And while the Phillies have one of the best offenses in the league, Gallen has aced better with strong results. He shut out the Mets twice and Dodgers once. Not shut down, shut out. Gallen was fantastic against two of the best offenses in the MLB already and I like his chances to keep it together in this spot.
The Phillies might be the better team overall, but with Kyle Gibson on the hill, I don’t love them in this spot as home favorites. Gibson is coming off a five-run, three-inning meltdown against the Angels on Sunday.
Look for Gallen to win this pitching duel and for the Diamondbacks' sketchy offense to do just enough to eke out a win here. -- Matt De Saro
Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+115)
Rays vs. Twins Prediction and Pick
Over the last week, Randy Arozarena has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball. He only has one home run over that time, but is touting an OPS over 1.000. That has helped raise his career low OPS up to .737, but Devin Smeltzer on the mound spells bad news for Arozarena’s hot bat. On the year, Arozarena has a slugging percentage of .326 against left handers, over 100 points lower than against right handed pitching and has yet to homer against a lefty.
The left hander on the mound might also take Ji Man Choi’s bat out of the lineup for Tampa. He actually has a 1.262 OPS against southpaws, but that has only come in 17 at-bats.
Devin Smeltzer is coming off of his worst start of the season, but he did only allow two earned runs across four innings. Rassmussen actually had his best outing of 2022 last time out when he went seven scoreless against the White Sox.
This could set up a low scoring series opener between these two teams with good starting pitching and a left-hander to neutralize some of the Rays best bats. -- Josh Yourish
Pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
Marlins vs. Astros Prediction and Pick
I think the Marlins hang tough on the road against an Astros squad that's starting to come back to earth after an impressive run last week.
López being on the bump is a big reason why. The 26-year old right-hander has been outstanding all year long with a 2.18 ERA, striking out 9.14 batters per nine innings. He's given up 11 of his 16 earned runs in his last three starts, but he's also given Miami 20 innings in those games as well, striking out 19 batters.
Garcia has also been excellent for Houston, pitching to a 3.07 ERA in 10 starts this year. In half of his starts, he's gone at least six or more innings, giving up no more than three runs only once.
Lopez, interestingly enough, has had his biggest struggles the first time through the order, pitching to a 2.96 ERA, compared to a 1.80 and 1.84 ERA the second and third time through. Even so, he's only given up eight runs in 24.1 innings pitched. If he can get through the Astros' bats with relative ease, I see the first five under holding up beautifully at a reasonable number. -- Ben Heisler
LEAN: F5 UNDER 4 (-115)