Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Orioles Upset, Braves Win Big and Total to Play on Monday)
The MLB season is entering its final days, and we have just four games on the slate for Monday, Sept. 26.
So, naturally our BetSided team has found our favorite picks for you to make for these games, with odds from FanDuel and BetMGM.
Let's jump in:
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Odds, Prediction and Pick
Bryce Elder is the Braves No. 3 prospect according to MLB.com and tonight will be his eighth major league start. He has lived up to the billing of a top prospect so far in his rookie season with a 3.38 ERA, but the Braves are only 3-4 in his starts this year. Elder has a 4.09 Fielding Independent Pitching and a pretty low batting average on balls in play of .264 which could signal impending regression. He only has 36 strikeouts to 21 walks in 40 innings, which does not keep pace with dominant pitchers in 2022.
Elder has not been great, but he looks like a serviceable MLB starter at 23-years-old and that is much more than Cory Abbott can say in his second season of major league action. Abbott has a 4.85 ERA and a FIP north of six for his career he allows 2.6 home runs per nine innings and in his last outing against Atlanta he gave up four runs in four innings.
With such a disparity between the talent level of these two teams, the underdog needs to have a massive advantage on the mound to have a shot. While I would be a little weary of trusting Elder in the postseason you can trust him and the Braves on the run line tonight.
Pick: Braves -2.5 (+105) -- Josh Yourish
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds, Prediction and Pick
The Yankees have to be excited that Luis Severino is back in the rotation, and he looked great against the Pittsburgh Pirates last week, pitching five innings of one-run ball and striking out six batters.
This is a great pitching matchup, as Kevin Gausman pitched seven innings of shutout ball in his last start against the Yankees, and he bounced back from a couple of rough September outings to pitching six scoreless innings in his last start.
Even though New York’s offense has been hot lately, I think there is value in taking the UNDER in the first five innings. Severino should pitch around five innings if New York is trying to limit his work, and New York’s bullpen is top five in ERA this season.
As long as Gausman keeps up his success against the Yankees this season, we should see a bit of a pitcher's duel to start.
Lean: First Five Innings UNDER 3.5 (+102) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Odds, Prediction and Pick
There is no way this Baltimore team should be set as an underdog against Seabold, even if it is on the road.
Boston is 1-3 in Seabold’s four outings this season, and he’s allowed 30 hits and 19 earned runs in just 16.1 innings pitched. Simply put, he’s downright awful.
Lyles hasn’t been lights out for the O’s this season, and he did get roughed up by Boston in his last start against the Sox, but I still think he’s the superior starter here.
Baltimore played well over the weekend against the Houston Astros, while Boston struggled with the New York Yankees. The O’s still have a shot at a wild card spot, and they should handle business in this matchup.