Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Rockies Are Top Underdog of the Day)

Jul 27, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies catcher Elias Diaz (35) reacts after hitting a
Jul 27, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies catcher Elias Diaz (35) reacts after hitting a / Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
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The first half of the MLB season is winding down, but we still have plenty of games to get through. Although it’s the late afternoon, there’s still a few games at the end of the night to bet on.

The BetSided crew of Josh Yourish, Joe Summers, Reed Wallach, Iain MacMillan and Donnavan has you covered with their favorite picks for the games today, via WynnBET Sportsbook.

Brewers vs. Red Sox Prediction and Pick

Boston was able to split their four-gamer with Cleveland after the debacle that was their three game series with Toronto. They continue their homestand against Milwaukee, but really look like a team in freefall. 

Brayan Bello is their third ranked prospect according to MLB.com, but has an ERA over 10 in three starts with Boston. Though those numbers might be a bit misleading due to an abnormally high, batting average on balls in play. So far his BABIP is .478, even though he isn’t allowing opponents to barrel the ball. He has a 2.2% barrel rate, and a negative launch angle. He isn’t getting much swing and miss, but if he had a better defense behind him and starts to get more BABIP luck then he could turn his rookie season around. 

Bello also has a fielding independent pitching of 3.87 compared to his 10.50 ERA which nearly falls in line with Woodruff’s 3.73 ERA. 

Bello could someday find that level of success, but he isn’t there yet and Woodruff is. 

Pick: Brewers ML-157

Follow all Josh’s bets HERE


Orioles vs. Reds Prediction and Pick

Oh, what a beautiful day it is! Not only do we get to back one of the hottest teams in baseball in the Orioles, but we get to fade Mike Minor!

Minor is, in a word, horrible. He's in the third percentile in barrel percentage and fourth in expected slugging percentage with a 6.75 ERA at home.

Think of all the things that have happened in your life over the last calendar year. Perhaps you started a new job, maybe found a new lunch spot down the street you like, or even picked up a new hobby. Well, Minor has started 16 times in the that span and his team has lost 15 of them. At least the guy is consistent?

Baltimore is 15-5 over its last 20 games and is 6-2 in Dean Kremer's last eight outings. I like what I've seen from the 26-year-old righty, who sports a 1.66 ERA on the road. Just look at this filth:

That'll play! Baltimore has the better starter, lineup, defense, and bullpen. Look for the Orioles to win convincingly as Minor's disastrous year continues.

Pick: Orioles -1.5 (+120)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.


Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction and Pick

The Rockies are an elite team at hitting lefties, second in the bigs this season in batting average against that those type of pitchers, which will be helpful against Urías. While the southpaw has a sub-3.00 ERA this season, he has a FIP of 3.91 and has allowed a career high home run rate. In the hitter friendly Coors Field, this can be problematic against a Rockies team that is comfortable at the plate and has pop in their bats.

On the other side, it appears that Kuhl has found a home in Colorado, thriving at Coors Field. He has a 3.52 ERA at home this season, significantly better than his 5.40 ERA. While the Dodgers have the far superior lineup, this matchup pits the two teams closer than this line indicates.

Colorado thrives at home and is in a great spot to compete tonight, I'll take them to pull an upset on a Dodgers team on Friday night.

LEAN: Rockies ML (+195)

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!


Mariners vs. Astros Prediction and Odds

Last night’s pitching matchup was set up to be a good one, but tonight’s is going to be great. Justin Verlander, who is third in MLB in ERA, will go against Robbie Ray. Verlander is in peak form right now. He’s only allowed three runs in his last five starts and has pitched 34 innings across those starts. 

His dominance will certainly give the Astros a chance against the Mariners, whose number they seem to have. 

However, Robbie Ray is no slouch. While his last two starts haven’t been perfect. He has surpassed double-digit strikeouts twice in the last five outings and is consistently going deep into his starts. He got rocked in his last time out – which was against the Astros – but this is a good chance to get right. 

I think both pitchers come to play tonight, leading me to take the UNDER.

Lean: UNDER 7 (+100)

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.


Cubs vs. Giants Prediction and Pick

Nothing is going well for the Giants, and they should feel lucky that they're record isn't worse than what it is. In July, they're 23rd in OPS at .670 and 26th in bullpen ERA at 4.38. The Cubs outrank them in both of those categories, but yet are significant underdogs at +125.

Both pitchers are putting up comparable numbers. Marcus Stroman will take the mound for the Cubs, sporting a 4.38 ERA. Alex Cobb starts for the Giants, and he has a 4.26 ERA.

The Giants are clearly not the same team they were last year, who led the NL West for a majority of the season.

I'll back the Cubs as slight underdogs, and hope the Giants offensive and pitching woes continue.

Pick: Cubs ML +125

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.