Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Happy Dylan Cease Day, Back Orioles and Two Totals to Bet on Sunday)

Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Dylan Cease.
Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Dylan Cease. / Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

We have a loaded Major League Baseball slate on Sunday, and the BetSided team of Peter Dewey, Reed Wallach, Josh Yourish and Joe Summers has you covered.

We're breaking down some of our top picks and predictions for today's games, with all odds via WynnBET:

Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox Odds, Prediction and Pick

  • Run Line: White Sox -1.5 (-130) | A’s +1.5 (+110)
  • Moneyline: White Sox -270 | A’s +240
  • Total: 8 (Over +100/Under -120)

MLB The Show is my favorite video game. I bought a Playstation 4 instead of an Xbox 360 years ago specifically so I could play it. I'll do a fantasy draft and build a stellar roster in Kansas City to pretend my Royals are good and play through as many seasons as possible. Sometimes, I'll have a pitcher go on an obscene run that feels unrealistic and have to bump the difficulty up.

Dylan Cease's performance over the last two months would make me raise the difficulty two levels. The guy is on "Rookie" mode out here. It feels fake, seriously.

How is it even possible to allow just three runs over 11 starts!? It must be the power of the mustache.

If I were Rob Manfred, I'd make the White Sox start with a five-run deficit to make things fair. You know, bump the difficulty up. Because without a head-start, I don't see how Oakland can make this even moderately close. Adam Oller has an 8.07 ERA and an MLB Statcast Pitching Profile that makes me nauseas.

Just for a point of comparison, here is Cease's Statcast Pitching Profile:

Obscenely goofy stuff. Give me the White Sox to roll, but I'll also back Cease over 7.5 strikeouts (-143) as he continues his march to Cy Young glory.

Pick: White Sox -1.5 (-130) and Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-143) -- Joe Summers

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds, Prediction and Pick

  • Run Line: Orioles +1.5 (-195) | Reds -1.5 (+160)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +108 | Reds -118
  • Total: 9 (Over +100/Under -120)

Austin Voth has been a bit of a revelation in a opener-type role for the Orioles since they picked him up from the Washington Nationals. 

Voth has allowed more than two earned runs in just one outing since coming to Baltimore, and the team has won five of the six games he’s started. 

A big reason for that is the Orioles bullpen, as Baltimore ranks No. 3 in baseball with a 3.00 bullpen ERA. With Voth likely going between three and five innings, the pen is going to be put to the test again on Sunday. 

Nick Lodolo is coming off arguably his best start of the year against the Miami Marlins on July 25, but it’s worth noting that Miami is the worst team in baseball against lefties this season. Baltimore isn’t much better, ranking 24th in OPS against lefties in 2022. 

I think the UNDER is a solid play in this game, but I also like the Orioles to ride their bullpen to a win as a short dog. I can’t trust this Reds team as a favorite with how bad they’ve been all season. 

Lean(s): Orioles ML (+108) | UNDER 9 (-120) -- Peter Dewey

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves Odds, Prediction and Pick

  • Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-110) | Braves -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks +197 | Braves -217
  • Total: 8 (Over -110/Under -110)

Standing in front of the freight train that is the Braves is a scary proposition, but Merrill Kelly is in line for a quality start against Atlanta. Kelly is pitching to soft contact, allowing a career low 5.4% home run to fly ball rate this season. In July, he has allowed seven runs over five starts.

However, there are concerns about the D-Backs ability to plate runs against Max Fried, one of the best lefty pitchers in all of baseball. He has a 2.73 ERA that is supported by a 2.48 FIP and the league best home run rate of 0.4 home runs allowed per 9 innings. It also doesn't help Arizona's case that they are 20th in batting average against lefties this season.

I see both pitchers in line for strong starts and a bit of a rock fight on Sunday afternoon so I'll avoid taking an outright winner and take the under on getaway day.

LEAN: UNDER 8 (-110) -- Reed Wallach

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres Odds, Prediction and Pick

  • Run Line: Twins +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+130)
  • Moneyline: Twins +127 | Padres -137
  • Total: 8.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

The story of this one could be determined by the pitching matchup, as most games are in the MLB. The interesting thing with this one however is that the total sits at just 8.5 when neither starting pitcher got beyond the fourth inning in their last outing. 

Sean Manaea’s last time out was at Detroit, facing one of the worst offenses in baseball, and he allowed nine runs, four of them earned and only finished four innings. Obviously with five unearned runs, the defense hurt him, but Manaea was not good in that start and has a 4.33 ERA on the season. 

Dylan Bundy was even worse in his first start out of the All-Star break just five days ago. It came in a 7-6 loss to Milwaukee and Bundy surrendered five earned runs over just four innings pitched. Bundy is somehow 6-4 on the year, but that is with an ERA above five. Bundy is worth -0.2 wins above replacement this season. 

It’s clear that this is not a stellar pitching matchup and yet it is a relatively low total. The Padres have only hit .229 in their last 10 games and the Twins are only hitting .235, but these offenses should be good enough to put up some runs. 

Pick: Over 8.5 (-105) -- Josh Yourish

Follow all Josh’s bets HERE