Betsided

Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Marlins, Pirates, and Athletics all Live Dogs on Sunday's Slate)

By Ben Heisler

Oakland Athletics starting pitcher Cole Irvin comes off his best pitching performance of the season; going 8 innings of 1-run ball vs. the Blue Jays.
Oakland Athletics starting pitcher Cole Irvin comes off his best pitching performance of the season; going 8 innings of 1-run ball vs. the Blue Jays. / D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports
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Every day, our team of writers and editors at BetSided go through the full day's slate of games in Major League Baseball and share their favorite picks for every Major League game on that day's slate.

Sunday getaway day always can be a bit unusual, especially with unique lineups and lots of underdogs always in-play. So which games are we highlighting to wager on this afternoon and evening?

Here are our top MLB picks and predictions for Sunday, July 10 with all odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Marlins vs. Mets Odds, Prediction and Pick

Run Line:

  • Marlins +1.5 (-215) | Mets -1.5 (+175)

Moneyline:

  • Marlins (+103) | Mets (-113)

Total:

  • 7 (OVER -115 | UNDER -105)

We have a phenomenal pitching matchup in New York this afternoon as Sandy Alcantara (9-3) and Taijuan Walker (7-2) face off at Citi Field.

The Mets are the better team by a wide margin, but Alcantara is a legitimate NL Cy Young candidate; ranking third in MLB in ERA (1.82), fifth in WHIP (0.91), and 10th in strikeouts (107).

His last time on the mound, Alcantara hurled eight innings of two-hit ball against the Angels. Despite his strong numbers, the Marlins are just 2-2 in his last four starts.

Walker, on the other hand, gave up three earned runs over six innings. Not awful, but the Reds' lineup isn't anything to be afraid of.

Walker has also struggled against the current Marlins’ lineup. With a .287 batting average in 96 at-bats, Walker has clearly had his issues. Meanwhile, Alcantara owns a .163 BAA when facing this Mets’ roster in 180 total at-bats. 

I can’t pass up the opportunity to bet on Alcantara at plus-money. 

Pick: Marlins +115

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

Pirates vs. Brewers Odds, Prediction and Pick

Run Line:

  • Pirates +1.5 (-135)
  • Brewers -1.5 (+112)

Moneyline:

  • Pirates +155
  • Brewers -170

Total:

  • 7.5 (OVER -115 | UNDER -105)

Jose Quintana is on the bump for the Pirates as he looks to continue to be a top MLB Trade Deadline candidate. The middle of June was the toughest stretch for Quintana’s season, but since June 23 he's been excellent; increasing the return that Pittsburgh may get for him headed towards the end of July

Quintana owns a 3.33 ERA, a 3.36 FIP or Fielder Independent Pitching, a better than average walk rate to go with a league average strikeout rate. He does have an expected ERA of 4.50, plus his changeup has a run value of nine. It is by far his worst pitch and yet he is throwing it 24.2% of the time, easily the highest usage of his career. 

Despite some of these ongoing issues, Quintana should give the left-handed heavy Milwaukee lineup issues today. They have a .684 OPS against left-handers compared to a .745 against right-handers. 

I expect Quintana to neutralize the most intimidating parts of the Brewers lineup and make the Pirates a good bet as an underdog. 

PICK: Pirates +150

Follow all Josh’s bets HERE

Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Prediction and Pick

Run Line:

  • Astros -1.5 (-110) | Athletics +1.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Astros -174 | Athletics +159

Total:

  • 8 (OVER -115 | UNDER -105)

Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!

The Astros fell as gigantic -300 favorites to the A's yesterday and I'm buying the A's to come out and win the series today with Cole Irvin on the mound.

The 28-year old lefty pitched his best game of the season in the A's home win against the Toronto Blue Jays on the 4th of July; limiting a dangerous offense to just one earned run in eight innings of work; striking out four and walking none.

The Astros send out Jake Odorizzi, who's been very average this year. In eight starts, he's only striking out 6.06 batters per nine innings; the lowest of his career since his 2012 rookie season in Kansas City, while his BB/9 is up to its highest level in four season at 3.28. The home run rate is down, but Odorizzi still has been a bit fortunate; considering his expected ERA is actually closer to 4.43, compared to his current ERA of 4.04.

Irvin faces a good Houston offense, but one that's had its issues vs. left-handed pitching, especially on the road. The Astros rank 19th in weighted on-base average (wOBA) vs. southpaws away from home this year, while ranked 27th in batting average and 20th in strikeouts.

PICK: Athletics ML +159

Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!

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