Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Mets, Dodgers, Guardians Are Favorites to Play, Plus One Total)
Looking to place some wagers on the Major League Baseball action on Wednesday, July 6?
You've come to the right place, as the BetSided team of Peter Dewey, Joe Summers and Matt De Saro are breaking down their top picks and predictions with all odds via WynnBET:
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction and Pick
The Braves have been money in Max Fried’s starts this season, winning 12 of his 16 games and eight straight.
That's mainly due to Fried’s dominance, as he’s allowed fewer than four earned runs in 13 of his 16 outings. The Braves’ ace has also gone deep into almost every game, pitching six or more innings in all but three starts in 2022.
Miles Mikolas is a formidable opponent, although the Cards are just 9-7 in his 16 starts in 2022. Since nearly no-hitting the Pittsburgh Pirates, Mikolas has allowed just five earned runs in 17.2 innings over three starts.
While I’d lean with the Braves, there is more value in taking the UNDER in a game with both of these starters. Mikolas’ starts have gone UNDER 8.5 runs 11 times while Fried’s have gone below this number nine times.
Lean: UNDER 8.5 (-110) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction and Pick
The Guardians are in a good spot to get back on track today with Shane Bieber (3-4) on the mound.
While his record isn’t all that, Bieber has a sparkling 3.16 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 93 strikeouts in 91 innings. All three marks put him in the Top 35 of all pitchers in the league. This will be the third time this season Bieber faces Detroit and he’s been fantastic against them during his entire career. In 152 total at-bats, the current Tigers are hitting just .152 against him with a .434 OPS and 52 strikeouts.
n his last game against them, Bieber allowed one run over eight innings with five strikeouts and zero walks.
Facing off against Bieber will be veteran pine tar user Michael Pineda. Pineda will be making his second start since returning to the rotation on July 1 in a loss to the lowly Royals. KC scored three earned runs off seven hits over five innings in that loss. This has been the story of the year so far for Pineda in limited action.
Aside from two games against the Twins and Yankees during April, Pineda’s other starts have been against awful teams. He allowed a couple of runs each to the A’s and Pirates before getting smacked around by the Royals. Pineda hasn’t faced a good offense in months and I don’t foresee this matchup going well for him or the Tigers.
Pick: Guardians -1.5 (+100) -- Matt De Saro
Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Pick
Jose Urena hasn't made a major league start since last season and every indication points to a disastrous performance today.
In five minor league starts this year, Urena gave up 17 runs in 21 innings. He's got one of the league's worst bullpens behind him and the Dodgers have already scored at least five runs in four of their last five games.
It's not as if Urena was any good in the majors last year either, too. Check out his MLB Statcast Pitching Profile from last season:
Mitch White hasn't been exceptional by any means for Los Angeles, but he's a heck of a lot better than that.
The Dodgers should win in a blowout, but I also like the over. Neither Urena nor White should pitch deep into the game, and with Urena's history the Dodgers may hit the over by themselves. In Urena's last seven MLB starts, the over is 5-2 and his team has been outscored by a combined score of 58-25.
Trust the home squad to complete the sweep at home in convincing fashion.
Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-175) and Over 9.5 (+105) -- Joe Summers
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction and Pick
Graham Ashcraft got off to a roaring start in his Major League career, but he’s come back to earth over his last four starts, allowing 19 runs over his last 20 innings pitched.
Ashcraft did spin eight innings of two-run ball on June 24 against the San Francisco Giants, but he followed that up with a rough performance against the Chicago Cubs, allowing seven runs on seven hits in just 2.1 innings.
His ERA has ballooned to 4.53 in the process, and he may have trouble with a Mets team that is sixth in baseball in runs scored this season.
As for David Peterson, he has been really consistent for New York allowing four runs or less in all 12 of his appearances this season. Peterson has also given the Mets some length over his last two outings, going six and seven innings and allowing just five combined earned runs.
I’ll back New York in this matchup to win the series against Cincy.
Lean: Mets ML (-157) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.