Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Mets Grab Huge Win, Back Jays and One Total on Sunday)
The final days of the Major League Baseball season are upon us, and the BetSided team still has some plays that you should consider tailing on Sunday, Oct. 2.
First, we look at the Milwaukee Brewers, who are just one game out of a playoff spot in the National League. Then the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves continue to battle for the NL East crown, and our guy Reed Wallach has a team he likes to win that matchup.
Let's dive into the picks for Sunday's action:
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds, Prediction and Pick
The Marlins are playing out this season in hopes of spoiling some teams playoff chances, and López tried his hardest on Tuesday, holding down the Mets lineup to three runs in six innings. He now gets to face a middling Brewers offense that is below the big league average in both on-base percentage and wRC+ over the last month.
Meanwhile, the Marlins offense continues to keep down what is a solid pitching staff. The team is hitting .235 over the last month, 25th best in baseball, and are facing Houser, who is rounding into form. While he has struggled with control this season, he is coming off the best stretch of the season, posting a 3.68 ERA over his last five starts.
I don't trust either offense and think both pitchers are in line for strong outings, so I'll take a stab at the under in this series finale.
LEAN: UNDER 7.5 -- Reed Wallach
Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds, Prediction and Pick
There's not much separating these two teams, and I'll side with the Mets as small underdogs, especially with New York's success against Charlie Morton this season.
In three starts against the Mets, Morton has an ERA of 4.67 while allowing three home runs. The Mets are disciplined at the plate, top three in walk rate and should have the ability to push Morton, who has posted the highest walk rate in four seasons.
On the other side, Chris Bassitt has had two stellar outings against the Braves, allowing four earned runs across 13 innings and posting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of nearly five.
Again, these two teams are equals and I think there's consistently value taking the underdog, so give me the Mets on Sunday night.
LEAN: Mets ML (+110) -- Reed Wallach
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction and Pick
There’s no doubt that Michael Wacha has been Boston’s best pitcher, despite his Fielding Independent Pitching, or FIP sitting at 3.90 on the season.
Boston is 16-6 in his starts this season, and since the start of August, the Red Sox are 7-2 in his nine outings.
Kevin Gausman has pitched well for the Jays this season, but he has a 4.02 ERA this month, allowing five runs to the Tampa Bay Rays and Texas Rangers in separate starts.
That being said, the Jays have dominated the Red Sox in this series, outscoring them 19-0 through the first two games. Even if Wacha pitches well, I don’t trust Boston’s bullpen, which is in the bottom 10 in the league in ERA.