Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Phillies Upset, Twins and Brewers Complete Sweeps on Sunday)
Looking to bet on Major League Baseball on Sunday?
Look no further! The BetSided team of Peter Dewey, Joe Summers and Reed Wallach has you covered with their top picks and predictions for Sunday's action, with all odds via WynnBET:
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction and Pick
Both of these starters have been really solid this season, but there is a drastic difference between the Twins and Royals on offense in 2022.
The Twins rank 10th in Major League Baseball in OPS, and they are also 13th in runs scored, leading to a plus-30 run differential.
Kansas City is almost a polar opposite. The Royals are 23rd in OPS, 27th in runs scored and have a putrid minus-55 run differential. The Royals may have Singer on the mound, but they have one of the worst bullpen ERAs in the league at 4.35.
It’s not easy to complete a four-game sweep, but if anyone is going to do it, it’s the Twins today. Brady Singer and Bailey Ober should duel for the first few innings, but I trust this Minnesota offense to get to the Royals’ struggling bullpen.
Lean: Twins Moneyline (-108) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Pick
I'm expecting the Phils to get a big outing from Zach Eflin on Sunday, who has been pitching fine but is due for even better marks in the near future. The 7th year pro is putting together his best season thus far, pitching to a 3.90 ERA with a 1.200 WHIP (Walks, Hits, per Inning), but his numbers indicate he could be doing better with some help in the field, a 2.59 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching).
The same can't be said for Gonsolin, who is due for negative regression. While he may have a sterling 4-0 record in 7 starts, he is constantly at odds wit his control, walking more than four batters per 9 innings and his FIP is nearly 2 runs higher than his ERA. He currently has a 1.61 ERA but a FIP of 3.54, hinting that he is going to take a step back sooner or later.
We know about the Phillies offense that is top eight in baseball in slugging percentage, but their pitching is going to be what carries them to an underdog winner in the series finale.
LEAN: Phillies +117 -- Reed Wallach
You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction and Pick
Despite Juan Soto's heroics, the Washington Nationals offense is performing like one of the worst in the league. They've scored two or fewer runs in seven of their last nine games and are averaging just 1.5 runs per contest over their last six. Now they'll have to find a way to score against a pitcher in Freddy Peralta that's allowed only one run in his last 14.2 innings pitched.
After finding his footing following a poor first couple of starts, Peralta has been sensational. He ranks in the 90th percentile in barrel percentage and strikeout percentage, so he's preventing hard contact while generating swings-and-misses. The Brewers' bullpen isn't as deadly as it was last year, but they still have the fifth-lowest ERA in the National League, so runs should be hard to come by for the inept Nationals lineup.
On the other end, Milwaukee should have no problem scoring on Sanchez. He's in the first percentile in average exit velocity, second percentile in hard hit percentage, and third in strikeout percentage. As a reminder, this isn't golf, so low numbers are bad. Very bad, in fact.
Sanchez has gotten worse as the year has gone on too, amassing a 8.78 ERA in May, putting pressure on a Washington bullpen that has the fourth-worst ERA in the NL.
The Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 as a home favorite, with 10 of those wins coming by multiple runs. Meanwhile, the Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 as a road underdog, with seven of those eight losses coming by multiple runs.
I expect both trends to continue behind another stellar performance from Peralta as Milwaukee earns a dominant sweep.
Pick: Brewers -1.5 (-130) -- Joe Summers
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.