Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Rockies Upset, Three Totals and Bet a Jays Win on Sunday)
Looking to place some bets on Major League Baseball on Sunday?
You've come to the right place, as the BetSided team has several top picks for the action on July 3, with odds via WynnBET Sportsbook.
Let's dive into today's wagers to make:
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction and Pick
Throwing a complete game shutout against the Dodgers at Coors Field is like beating Joey Chestnut in a hot dog eating contest at Coney Island after first devouring a three-course meal. That kind of thing just isn't supposed to happen, and Chad Kuhl scarfed down those Oscar Meyer's anyway.
In his last three home starts, Kuhl shutout Los Angeles, limited the Guardians to two runs, and held the Braves scoreless over six innings. Now, he's an underdog to a Diamondbacks team that ranks 24th in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last three weeks. What gives?
Well, Zac Gallen gives. The 26-year-old ranks in the 85th percentile in hard hit percentage and has a 3.10 ERA on the road. That being said, I think oddsmakers are putting a bit too much stock into his early-season performance and aren't considering his poor recent form. Arizona has lost three straight on the road behind him and his 5.26 June ERA underscores a larger problem.
The Diamondbacks are a pathetic 2-7 in their last nine as a road favorite while the Rockies have won five of six as home underdogs. Thus, I see value with Kuhl. But I also like the under. It's 7-2 in that poor Arizona stretch as road favorites and 7-3-1 in Colorado's last 11 as home 'dogs and 5-1 in Kuhl's starts at Coors Field.
I'll happily back the trends and expect a strong performance from each pitcher, but Kuhl's current form is too impressive to ignore. He'll take relish on his hot dog this time, Joey.
Pick: Rockies (+103) and Under 11.5 (-115)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Odds
The Dodgers have the advantage in their lineup, but will need Clayton Kershaw to rebound right in order to get the win. Kershaw gave up 9 hits, six runs and two home runs in his last start – which went 4.0 innings long. If he can’t get control of his pitch, the Padres will light him up and get upset.
On the other side, the Padres need to find out early which MacKenzie Gore they’re getting. If its the version of Gore that showed up against the Phillies, San Diego is in business. However, if it’s the version of Gore that gave up 8 runs and three homers in 4.0 innings against the Rockies, they’re toast.
Neither of these pitchers are consistent right now, and their floors aren’t that high. I’ll back the OVER in this one, as I think both lineups will find success early.
Lean: OVER 7.5 Runs (-110)
You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction and Pick
We’ve got a solid pitching matchup in Toronto with youngster Shane Baz taking on the red-hot Ross Stripling on Sunday.
Baz has been solid in four starts this season, compiling a 3.38 ERA and 3.55 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), but he hasn’t given the Rays much length, pitching into the sixth inning just twice.
Stripling is the starter I want to back here, as the Jays have won five of his last six starts since putting him back in the starting rotation. Stripling has been money over that stretch, allowing two or fewer runs in all six starts and posting a 1.59 ERA and opponent batting average of just .198.
I’ll trust him to get the Jays a win at home on Sunday.
Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline (-135)
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction and Pick
At first glance, this appears to be a very solid pitching matchup between two contenders in the American League. Sure, they are in different weight classes as contenders -- the Yankees are the World No. 1 heavyweight and the Guardians are more of a top contender for the welterweight title --but they are both contending and will be playing meaningful baseball in September.
On further examination of this specific matchup on the mound, the total of 8 doesn’t make as much sense. Yes, Cleveland struggles against left-handed pitching, but they have seen a lefty in Nestor Cortes the day before which may help them against Jordan Montgomery. Another thing that will help the offense is that Jordan Montgomery has not been good his last two starts. He gave up four runs on June 22 and five runs on the 27th.
Now, Triston McKenzie and his 4.03 ERA. That appears to be a pretty solid number, but his Fielding Independent Pitching is 4.83, and he has given up 16 home runs in 14 starts. Not to mention his last two outings have also gone poorly. Seven runs on June 27 and six two starts ago on June 22.
Neither pitcher had their best stuff to end June and with a low total in this one, it is my favorite bet all day.
Pick: OVER 8 (-115)
Follow all Josh’s bets HERE