Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Totals to Play in Mets-Yankees, A's-Astros and More)
Wednesday is loaded with afternoon baseball games to bet on, and the BetSided team has a few picks for you to tail (or fade) on July 27.
Iain MacMillan, Reed Wallach and Peter Dewey are breaking down their top plays, with odds via WynnBET for today's action:
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Yankees +1.5 (-140) | Mets -1.5 (+115)
- Moneyline: Yankees +160 | Mets -175
- Total: 7 (Over -120/Under +100)
The Mets took Game 1 of the Subway Series on Tuesday with a 6-3 victory, and I think they’re in line to jump on German, who allowed five earned runs and two homers in his first start of the season against the Houston Astros.
I have zero confidence in German holding down a Mets lineup that is top-10 in the league against right-handed pitching this season.
That, and the Yankees’ banged up bullpen should help the Mets hit the OVER, especially after the Yankees used several arms in yesterday’s loss.
There is also value in taking the Mets first five innings over at 2.5 runs, but I’d rather give myself the full game to back the Mets, even if it means laying more juice.
Lean: Mets Team Total OVER 3.5 Runs (-150) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Astros -1.5 (-115) | A’s +1.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Astros -195 | A’s +177
- Total: 7 (Over -110/Under -110)
Many will rush to bet the Astros on Wednesday based on the idea that they won't get swept by the 37-63 A's, but this is a steep price to bet Houston on the road.
The team struggles against left handed pitching, hitting just .238 this season, 23rd in the bigs. Houston has a ton of talent in the lineup, but southpaws have gotten the better of them all year long.
Irvin has had a ton of success against the Astros in 2022, facing them three times and nearly putting together a quality start in all starts. He has allowed four runs in 17.2 innings against Houston while walking just three batters.
Javier should also dominate the A's offense that is amongst the worst in baseball. He does struggle with walks (nearly four per nine innings) but he strikes out nearly 13 batters per nine innings. I expect the Astros starter to put together another strong start and limit the A's offense who is off a combined 12 runs against Houston this series.
UNDER: UNDER 7 (-110) -- Reed Wallach
Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds, Prediction and Pick
- Run Line: Nationals +1.5 (+120) | Dodgers -1.5 (-145)
- Moneyline: Nationals +255 | Dodgers -290
- Total: 9 (Over -105/Under -115)
Of course anything can happen in sports, especially baseball, but I'd love to see someone to try make the argument that the Nationals are worth a bet in this spot.
There's no way I can touch either side of the moneyline or run line, so I'm going to look at the total instead.
Patrick Corbin continues to get starts for the Nationals, so if there's one thing we can bank on, it's that runs are going to be scored in this game. He holds a 6.02 ERA, and he's allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts.
It doesn't help his case that Los Angeles ranks inside the top 10 in both batting average and OPS against left-handed pitchers this season.
Let's sit back and root for runs in this afternoon showdown.
Lean: OVER 9 (-105) -- Iain MacMillan
You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.