Top NBA Picks and Predictions Today (Trust Jazz With Steph Curry Out, Pelicans Dominate Pistons)

There are 11 games in the NBA on Wednesday, but there are three that I really have a good feel on in today's top picks and predictions.

If you're looking for an upset pick, there is one to play in an Eastern Conference matchup tonight, as well as two Western Conference teams that are favorites.

Let's jump in:

Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks Odds, Prediction and Pick

The Hawks are slight dogs in this game, which means we’re going back to my favorite trend in the NBA…

The Hawks have not covered in 47 straight losses, going 0-46-1 ATS dating back to last season. Insanity. 

If you’re going to bet on Atlanta in this game, the move is to take it to win, as the team does have four wins in 10 games as a dog this season. 

The Hawks won’t have John Collins or De’Andre Hunter in this game, which is a huge concern, especially since the team lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. 

However, the Knicks are nearly impossible to trust in this spot. New York is just 5-7 at home this season, and it struggled at MSG last season as well. That, coupled with New York’s inability to beat teams OVER .500 is too big of a red flag for me. 

Tom Thibodeau’s squad allowed less than 101 points in a game for the first time this season on Sunday. I don’t see that automatically becoming the norm, and New York couldn’t hold a huge lead against the Hawks earlier this season. 

Trae Young dominates The Garden again.

Detroit Pistons vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds, Prediction and Pick

The Pelicans are 3-3 against the spread in the second leg of a back-to-back this season, but I don’t think I can trust them against this Pelicans team that has three straight wins by 15 or more points. 

New Orleans comes into this matchup third in the NBA in net rating, ranking sixth in offense and third in defense on the season. Willie Green’s squad is proving that it can make the leap with Zion healthy, and the Pels have also been a good team to bet on, going 13-10 ATS this season. 

The Pelicans are 2-2 ATS in their four games as double-digit favorites this season, winning their last matchup in this spot by 45 points. 

After playing a near perfect game on Tuesday night, I’m going to fade this Pistons team here. Detroit has been brutal all season long, and trusting it to compete with two playoff-caliber teams in a row is a tall task. 

Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz Odds, Prediction and Pick

When Steph Curry is out, there is no way I’m trusting this Warriors team, especially on the road. 

Let me explain. 

Steph has missed two games this season, both against the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Warriors have lost both games, one by nine points and the other by 45 points. 

Not only that, but Golden State is just 2-10 straight up and against the spread on the road this season. With Steph out, the Warriors are going to stay the worst team ATS on the road. 

The Jazz have fallen to ninth in the Western Conference after a hot start, but they are a much better team at home, going 8-4 straight up and 7-5 ATS this season. 

With Mike Conley (questionable) potentially playing in this game, this feels like an ideal spot for Utah to get back on track after going 4-6 over its last 10 games. 

Don’t trust this young Warriors bench without Curry. 

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.