Top WNBA Picks and Predictions Today (Can Bettors Trust Mystics, Mercury as Favorites?)

Phoenix Mercury guard Skylar Diggins-Smith has been playing some of her best basketball this season as of late, adding 28 assists over her last three.
Phoenix Mercury guard Skylar Diggins-Smith has been playing some of her best basketball this season as of late, adding 28 assists over her last three. / Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
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Four WNBA games are on the Sunday slate, with the Las Vegas Aces wrapping up their east coast road trip earlier this morning against the Connecticut Sun.

Perhaps the most notable game is the Minnesota Lynx traveling to D.C. to face the Mystics. Since June 21, Minnesota has gone 7-3 after going 3-13 to begin the season.

Before we dive into our best bets for today's WNBA action, let's look at the remaining slate of Sunday games, with odds via WynnBET Sportsbook.

Best WNBA Prop Bets Record to Date

  • WNBA Best Bets Record: 54-54-1

WNBA Odds, Spread and Totals for Every Game (Tuesday, July 12)

Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics

Spread: Lynx +5 (-110) | Mystics -5 (-110)

Moneyline: Lynx +170 | Mystics -210

Total: 161.5 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury

Spread: Dream +6 (-110) | Mercury -6 (-110)

Moneyline: Dream +210 | Mercury -260

Total: 161.5 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm

Spread: Fever +14 (-110) | Storm -14 (-110)

Moneyline: Fever +800 | Storm -1400

Total: 162.5 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Lynx vs. Mystics Prediction and Pick

Not only is Minnesota 7-3 in their last 10 games, they're also 8-2 ATS. Washington's been good vs. the number as well, riding a four-game ATS streak into their July 14 road loss at Phoenix.

I remain impressed with the Lynx's resolve and ability to get through a brutal stretch with injuries and hard times in the early portion of the year, but Washington should bounce back at home in a matchup they're set to dominate in. Both teams play in the bottom-4 for pace, and Washington still remains dominant in opponent points/100 possessions (2nd) and in opponent points per game (1st).

Especially with Elena Delle Donne projected to play, I buy them to cover the 5 at home.

PICK: Mystics -5

Dream vs. Mercury Prediction and Pick

I still can't quite figure out how to handicap this Mercury team. Both teams are still in the mix for a final playoff birth, but is Phoenix starting to come together after a tumultuous first first months?

The answer might be yes. Skylar Diggins-Smith and Diana Taurasi are starting to gel offensively, and now face an Atlanta team without Rhyne Howard who couldn't score to begin with.

The Dream are just 2-6 over their last eight games, and their defense, the strength of their team continues to fall further down in the standings. I'll take Phoenix in the first half here, who's actually been a positive net-rated team (+1.2) over the last two weeks compared to Atlanta (-6.5)

LEAN: Mercury 1H -3

Fever vs. Storm Prediction and Pick

The No. 1 defensive rated team in the WNBA, the Seattle Storm came into their last matchup at home vs. Dallas with three straight overs, but held the Wings to just 74 points to go under their last time out.

Seattle has been the best second half team over the last two weeks, taking it into a whole other gear when they need to get stops. Meanwhile, the Fever are tops in the WNBA in possessions/40 minutes, and I can't help but wonder if Seattle might fall into that trap of going up and down the court with Indiana in the first half. Both two teams rank in the top half in pace in the first halves of games, and with the Fever not stopping anyone defensively, it should be easy buckets for the plethora of Storm All-Stars and bucket-getters on their squad.

LEAN: Fever-Storm 1H OVER 81.5 (-110)


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