Betsided

Top WNBA Picks and Predictions Today (Expect Sky To Win Defensive Battle)

By Donnavan Smoot, Ben Heisler

WNBA Finals - Game Four
WNBA Finals - Game Four / Stacy Revere/GettyImages
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Ben Heisler and Donnavan Smoot are back to give you their best bets of tonight’s WNBA slate. There’s only one game on the docket, but we still have multiple picks for tonight’s game. Let’s get straight into it.

Best WNBA Prop Bets Record to Date

  • WNBA Best Bets Record: 2-2

Here are the plays our team is eyeing for tonight’s slate with odds coming from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Top WNBA Picks For May 18

  • Sky vs. Storm UNDER 161.5 (-110)
  • Chicago Sky -3.5 vs. Seattle Storm

Sky vs. Storm UNDER 161.5 (-110)

I'm going back to the under well in Seattle tonight, when the Storm host the defending WNBA champion Chicago Sky.

Seattle is an entirely different team at Climate Pledge Arena, Their point differential at home is +18 compared to -31 on the road. While they've lost three straight, they've been at home since May 14 and the Sky continue their road trip following their 4-point win last Saturday at Minnesota. They've also allowed an average of 71.5 points at home, compared to 91 per game on the road.

Chicago, meanwhile, is last in the WNBA in possessions per 40 minutes, via Her Hoop Stats. While they rank second in points/game, and third in points per 100 possessions, I'd tread lightly here as all three games have come against below .500 teams.

I think the Storm keep it close, although Chicago's top ranking in free throw percentage could be the difference in covering the 3.5-point spread, but expect a defensive battle in the Pacific Northwest tonight. – Ben Heisler

Chicago Sky -3.5 vs. Seattle Storm (-110)

The Storm haven’t been able to get off the ground this season. They are 1-3 right now and haven’t won since opening night. Meanwhile, the Sky have the second best offense in the league and the third-best defense. Seattle ranks 9th in points per game and 7th in opponent points per game. Even at home, I don’t trust what the Storm have shown in their last three games to combat the Sky’s offense. 

On top of that, if this game is within a few possessions, Chicago is the best free throw shooting team in the league. The free throw game won’t work and with this being a two-possession spread, I’ll trust the Sky to handle business if it comes down to that. – Donnavan Smoot

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