Betsided

Top WNBA Picks and Predictions Today (Favorites Play To Make On Friday)

By Donnavan Smoot, Ben Heisler

Connecticut Sky v Las Vegas Aces
Connecticut Sky v Las Vegas Aces / Ethan Miller/GettyImages
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Ben Heisler and Donnavan Smoot are back to give you their best bets of tonight’s WNBA slate. 

We had another .500 day yesterday, but we feel great about tonight’s slate. It's a jam-packed night, with four games on tonight.

Let’s get into our picks for the night. 

Best WNBA Prop Bets Record to Date

  • WNBA Best Bets Record: 20-13

Here are the plays our team is eyeing for tonight’s slate with odds coming from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Top WNBA Picks For June 3

  • Sun -5.5 vs. Mercury (-110)
  • Mystics -11.5 vs. Liberty (-110)
  • Sky vs Dream UNDER 156 (-110)
  • Storm -6.5 vs. Wings (-110)

Sun vs. Mercury Best Bets

Sun -5.5 vs. Mercury (-110)

The Sun are coming off a great win against Las Vegas Aces and will continue their desert road trip in Phoenix tonight. Connecticut is a big favorite and for good reason. Phoenix has gone off the deep end. The Mercury have lost six games in a row and it’s largely due to their terrible defense. 

Phoenix is last in the WNBA in defensive rating, allowing 105 points per 100 possessions. That’s not going to bode well against the Sun, who are second in offensive rating as it is. The Sun also will be able to dominate Phoenix on the offensive glass and get second chance points. 

The Mercury are losing games by an average of 7.8 points per game, which would indicate they aren’t going to cover tonight. Despite being at home, I don’t see them pulling themselves together against one of the elite teams in the league.  – Donnavan Smoot

Liberty vs. Mystics Best Bets

Mystics -11.5 vs. Liberty (-110)

Any team that gets to play the Liberty has a great matchup. The Mystics are in a good position to cover tonight because of their elite defense. Washington has the third-best defensive rating in the league and allows the fewest amount of points. On top of that, the Mystics play at the slowest pace in the league, which will help keep the Liberty in check. 

New York now has to overcome a slow, defensive-minded team with the worst offense in the league and the seventh-worst defense. The Liberty also play at a slow pace, so there won’t be many opportunities for them to make up ground. 

The Liberty are also going to be on the road, where they are losing games by an average of 19.5 points per game. – Donnavan Smoot

Sky v. Dream Best Bets

Sky vs Dream UNDER 156 (-110)

“It’s Candace Parker vs. Rhyne Howard and you’re taking the under?”

Yep, I’m going back to the well in Atlanta tonight when the Dream host the Sky in what I anticipate being a grind-it-out slower paced game than most might anticipate given the star power involved.

The Dream, despite Howard’s brillant year, have carried their defense to their surprise 6-3 record this season; leading the WNBA in opponent points per 100 possessions.

As for Chicago, they’re perfectly comfortable playing slow and efficient; ranking 8th in possessions/40 minutes but fifth in points per scoring attempt. I also expect them to use a lot of what Washington did to limit Howard to a 0-point shooting performance back on May 24.

Atlanta has gotten into the 80’s over their last two games, but done it against two of the worst teams in the league in Phoenix and Minnesota. Expect both teams to end up in the 70’s by the time it’s said and done. – Ben Heisler

Storm vs. Wings Best Bets

Storm -6.5 vs. Wings (-110)

I want to apologize to all the Dallas Wings fans and bettors out there. Since I hyped up your team a week or so ago as one of my favorite dark horse picks in the WNBA, your club has been an absolute sieve on defense.

Dallas has given up 96 points on average to the Sun and Sparks over their last two games after not allowing more than 86 points during the entire season. While they got blown out by 31 in the second game of their-back-to-back in Connecticut, they at least hung tough on the road vs. the Sparks, but L.A. has struggled defensively all season long.

I have concerns about Dallas heading into Seattle as they play their fourth straight game on the road. The Storm are on a long homestand, playing their fifth consecutive game in their building; winners of four straight. While they’ve struggled to cover at home, I don’t see that being an issue against a tired Wings squad that’s struggled to guard.

Seattle ranks 2nd in opponent points per 100 possessions, third in opponent points per game, and third in opponent points per play. If they’re in rhythm, this could be a blowout early. – Ben Heisler

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