Twins vs. Orioles Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, May 4 (Twins Prevail in Low-Scoring Contest)

Dylan Bundy takes on his former team as the Twins battle the Orioles today
Dylan Bundy takes on his former team as the Twins battle the Orioles today / Julio Aguilar/GettyImages

After outscoring Baltimore by a combined score of 9-3 over the first two games of this four-game series, the 15-9 Minnesota Twins hope for a fifth-straight win as they take on the 8-16 Orioles tonight at 7:05 PM EST.

The Twins have now won 11 of their last 12 while the Orioles have lost seven of nine. Minnesota will send Dylan Bundy to the mound today to keep the streak rolling and he's been one of the more pleasant surprises of their young season.

Bundy gave up six runs in six innings in a loss to the Rays in his most recent outing, but prior to that had only surrendered one run across 15.1 innings over three starts.

Baltimore will counter with highly-touted prospect Kyle Bradish in his second big league start. Bradish was impressive in his Major League debut against Boston last week, going six innings of two-run ball in a narrow loss.

Can Bradish slow Minnesota down or will the Twins stay hot? Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find out ahead of this Twins vs Orioles matchup:

Twins vs Orioles Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Twins -1.5 (+130)
  • Orioles +1.5 (-160)


  • Twins: -134
  • Orioles: +124


  • 7.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Twins vs Orioles Prediction and Pick

Back in 2019, the Angels acquired Dylan Bundy from the Orioles for a package highlighted by a young, promising prospect named Kyle Bradish. Today, Bradish will make his second career start against none other than Bundy. Small world, huh?

Baltimore is excited about Bradish's potential and they should be. He tossed six innings against Boston in his debut with five of them scoreless and continued a stellar beginning to 2022 in the minors. Over three Triple-A starts before his Major League debut, the 25-year-old righty surrendered only two runs through 15 innings with 17 strikeouts.

He's ready to make an impact for the Orioles, but he'll be put to the test against a Twins lineup today that's on fire. They're averaging 6.2 runs per game over their last 10 and trot out Bundy, whose early-season renaissance has Minnesota dreaming of how good their rotation could be if this version of Bundy is here to stay.

The former Oriole has always had immense potential, but he's struggled to control his command. It's been a different story this season. He has dramatic improvements across the board, ranking in the 88th percentile in xERA and walk rate. While Bundy struggled in his most recent start, I expect success against an Orioles lineup that ranks 28th in OPS and has scored two or fewer runs in four of their last five.

Minnesota should have advantages offensively and in the bullpen, and though I like Bradish's potential, Bundy is a surer bet right now. This feels like too short a price for the Twins and I'll back them on the moneyline, but I also favor the under.

I know Minnesota's offense is streaking, but I believe Bradish is quite good. He compiled a 0.90 ERA in his final four starts of 2021 and has been even better to start this year. The rookie is capable of slowing the Twins' lineup down just enough to help make the under 17-7-1 in Baltimore games this season.

Pick: Twins (-134) and Under 7.5 (-110)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.