Twins vs. Royals Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, April 19 (Rested Royals With an Edge)

We've got a matchup of two struggling teams as the 3-5 Kansas City Royals host the 4-6 Minnesota Twins tonight at 8:10 PM EST.

Kansas City hasn't played since Saturday due to inclement weather so they'll be fully rested as they send Carlos Hernández to the mound. The 25-year-old struggled in his first start against Cleveland and got shelled in spring training, but showed a ton of promise as a rookie last year.

Chris Archer gets the call for Minnesota. Archer pitched four scoreless innings against the Dodgers in his first outing of the campaign and hopes to rebound from a rough last couple of seasons.

Can the Twins take advantage of Hernández's early-season struggles to get a divisional win or will the rested Royals hold serve at home?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook as we find some value in this Twins vs Royals matchup:

Twins vs Royals Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

• Twins -1.5 (+140)
• Royals +1.5 (-170)

Moneyline:

• Twins: -108
• Royals: -102

Total:

• 8.5 (Over +100/Under -120)

Twins vs Royals Prediction and Pick

When my old video game systems weren't working, I'd just unplug them and plug it back in. A classic reboot to get things working the way they were supposed to. Maybe a few days off will reboot the Royals and get their season back on track, because things were getting out of hand quickly. They've lost five of six and averaged just 3.5 runs per game in that stretch to pair with the league's worst bullpen. I hope someone unplugged them and plugged them back in over the last couple of days.

I know the early returns are far from promising, but I've got a lot of optimism for Hernández. After becoming a starter mid-way through 2021, he was electric. In his final 10 starts, Hernández allowed one or fewer runs seven times. He allowed two in one, four in another, and seven in a disastrous start. But on the whole, he allowed just 16 runs over his final 57.1 innings for a sparkling 2.52 ERA.

If you remove the start in which he allowed seven runs, his ERA drops all the way to 1.53, which is flatly ridiculous.

The kid can pitch, and he's taking on a struggling offense in Minnesota that will still be without star Byron Buxton. They've scored two or fewer runs in four of their last six games and I think
Hernández will have success.

I'm not buying Chris Archer's first start against the Dodgers either, as his underlying metrics suggest he's still not a good pitcher.

Minnesota has played 10 games in 11 days while the Royals are fully rested. Give me Kansas City to earn a home win behind a strong start from their young hurler.

Pick: Royals (-102)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.