Twins vs. Yankees Prediction and Odds for Monday, Sept. 5 (Chris Archer Continues to Struggle)

Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Chris Archer (17).
Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Chris Archer (17). / Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees picked up a much-needed win to avoid a sweep at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday and extend their lead to five games in the AL East. 

New York has been horrible since the All-Star break, and one can only wonder where the Yankees would be without Aaron judge, who hit his 53rd homer of the season to lead New York to a 2-1 win on Sunday. 

New York will host the surging Minnesota Twins, who have taken advantage of a five-game losing streak by the Cleveland Guardians to pull into a tie for first in the AL Central. 

Veteran Chris Archer (2-7, 4.52 ERA) gets the ball for the Twins against New York’s Jameson Taillon (12-4, 3.97 ERA). Taillon left his last start early after taking a line drive off his arm, but he appears good to go in Monday’s matchup. 

Here are the odds from FanDuel for this game: 

Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line and Total

Twins vs. Yankees Prediction and Pick

Something flipped for Archer once he came off the injured list in late July, and not in a good way. 

The veteran right-hander has a 7.08 ERA over his last eight starts, and the Twins have won just one of those games. To make matters worse, Archer is taxing the Minnesota bullpen in the process, failing to get through five innings in six of those eight outings.

Could this be the day the Yankees turn things around on offense? New York is 29th in baseball in OPS and 28th in runs scored over the last 30 days, and has been an UNDER machine lately. 

Taillon is a bit of a wild card off an injury, but he has at least been consistent lately, allowing three or fewer runs in five straight starts. 

Given Archer’s struggles, I’d rather just back the Yankees in this game, especially since they have one of the better bullpens in baseball in case Taillon can’t battle through the injury. 


Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.