UCF vs. Florida Prediction and Odds for Gasparilla Bowl
The Florida Gators are scheduled to take on an in-state opponent in UCF in the upcoming Gasparilla Bowl. This will be the first meeting between these two teams since 2006, when Florida blanked the Knights 42-0.
Florida failed to live up to expectations this season, finishing the season with a 6-6 record. The Gators were especially bad down the stretch, going 2-4 in their last six games with their only wins coming against Samford and a bad Florida State squad.
UCF didn't look nearly as good as they did in 2017 or 2018, but the Knights still finished with a respectable 8-4 record in the AAC. They were also hot down the stretch, going 5-1 in their last six games.
Let's take a look at the odds via WynnBET for the Gasparilla Bowl.
Gasparilla Bowl Odds, Spread, and Total
Spread:
- UCF +7 (-105)
- Florida -7 (-115)
Moneyline:
- UCF +234
- Florida -275
Total:
- 55.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Gasparilla Bowl Betting Trends
- UCF is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
- Florida is 0-6 ATS in its last six games.
- The OVER is 7-1 in Florida's last eight games vs. AAC opponents.
- Florida is 0-5 ATS in its last five games as a favorite.
Gasparilla Bowl Prediction and Pick
I’m not a big “motivation” guy, but with Florida in a transition phase between two coaches and with several players possible opting out like Kaiir Elam and Zachary Carter, this doesn’t seem like a game that Florida is getting up for.
I think UCF is going to be able to run the ball against this team. Florida is 79th in opponent yards per carry, and 45.31% of the yards gained against them comes on the ground which is the 27th highest rate in the country.
UCF is 19th in yards per carry averaging 5.2 yards on the ground, and they'll be getting Isaiah Bowser, they’re star running back, back in their lineup.
I think UCF can keep it close.