UCLA vs. Arizona State Prediction and Odds for College Football Week 10 (Offenses Will Thrive In the Desert)

Oct 29, 2022; Pasadena, California, USA;  UCLA Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson (1)
Oct 29, 2022; Pasadena, California, USA; UCLA Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson (1) / Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

UCLA bounced back nicely after its loss to Oregon last week, overwhelming Stanford at home and staying in the hunt for a PAC-12 Championship.

Now, the Bruins head to Tempe, Arizona to face Arizona State, who has looked more competitive over the last several weeks after firing Herm Edwards earlier this season. The Sun Devils made a change at quarterback last week, going to Trenton Bourguet in a 42-34 win over Colorado.

Can Bourguet keep the offense humming at home against UCLA? Let's check out the odds and find the best bet:

UCLA vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread and Total

UCLA vs. Arizona State Betting Trends

  • UCLA is 5-3 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • UCLA has gone OVER in six of eight games this season
  • Arizona State has gone UNDER in five of eight games
  • Arizona State is 3-2 ATS since firing Herm Edwards

UCLA vs. Arizona State Prediction and Pick

Bourguet was electric in his first career start, completiting 32-of-45 passes for 435 passing yards with three touchdowns and interception. It's clear that the Sun Devils offense gets a big lift with Bourguet under center, he also relieved an injured Emory Jones a few weeks back in a 45-38 win over Washington.

He'll be at home facing a UCLA defense that leaves a ton to be desired, 84th in success rate on defense and 90th in tackles for loss. The Bruins are also allowing a touchdown on over 70% of opponents' red zone trips, so when teams get inside the 20 they are punching it in for six.

With Bourguet taking snaps as QB1, I think the Sun Devils continue their upward trajectory, but the Bruins will also get their fair share against the Sun Devils defense.

Arizona State's defensive line is one of the worst in the country, third fewest tackles for loss and the 31st lowest defensive line yards mark. That'll be a problem against the likes of Dorian Thompson-Robinson and running back Zach Charbonnet. UCLA's ground game is averaging nearly six yards per carry and is top 10 in yards per play.

This game should feature plenty of points with both teams cruising into the 30's, I'll take the over in this late night matchup.

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.