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UCLA vs. Oregon Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 8

By Reed Wallach

Sep 30, 2022; Pasadena, California, USA; UCLA Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson (1) sets
Sep 30, 2022; Pasadena, California, USA; UCLA Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson (1) sets / Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
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The two top teams in the PAC-12 enter a massive matchup in Eugene on Saturday afternoon.

Dorian Thompson-Robinson and the UCLA Bruins take their undefeated record on the road to face Oregon and the high powered Ducks offense that is led by transfer quarterback Bo Nix. The Ducks offense has scored 40+ in every game since an opening week loss to Georgia on a neutral field, will they keep humming on Saturday afternoon with a total near 70?

We got you covered for this projected shootout, let's check out the odds:

Oregon vs. UCLA Odds, Spread and Total

Oregon vs. UCLA Betting Trends

  • Both teams are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • UCLA is 2-0 ATS as an underdog
  • Oregon is 3-0 ATS at home this season
  • UCLA has gone OVER in five of six games
  • Oregon has gone OVER in four of six games

Oregon vs. UCLA Prediction and Pick

These are two very similar teams, each inside the top five in success rate on offense, but outside the top 90 on the defensive side of the ball. Both teams have been knocked for their strength of schedule, but the offenses should hold up nicely.

Oregon has scored 40+ points in every game this season outside of a 49-3 loss to Georgia in the opener. Many have given the Ducks a pass for that one, but since then they have carved up opposing defenses. However, they allowed 41 at home to Washington State and 27 to Stanford.

UCLA is a major jump in class with the way Dorian Thompson-Robinson is playing. The Bruins have the No. 1 passing offense in terms of success rate this season and is top 10 in EPA/Play. DTR is a dynamic threat that may be putting it all together in his fifth season under center, he has combined for over 1,700 yards and 19 touchdowns through six games.

Duke transfer Jake Bobo has been a reliable target, hauling in 24 passes for 385 yards and five touchdowns while Michigan transfer running back Zach Charbonnet is averaging over seven yards per carry.

The Bruins outpaced quality PAC-12 foes like Washington and Utah at home, but will the offense travel to Eugene? It's to be determined.

Bo Nix deserves his shine after the drubbing against Georgia. As mentioned, he has this Ducks offense on point, averaging seven yards per play and scoring nearly four points per drive.

However, I'm going to side with Chip Kelly in his return to Autzen Stadium. The former Ducks head coach has been great as an underdog with the Bruins, 13-8-1 ATS since 2018, and with a total this high and a pair of offenses that are this explosive, I think this is a last team with the ball wins matchup.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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