UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier 3 - How Long Will The Fight Last?

We’re just a few days away from Conor McGregor’s return to the octagon to face Dustin Poirier in a rubber match in the main event of UFC 264. McGregor got the better of Porier in a featherweight bout back in September of 2014, but ‘The Diamond’ got his revenge earlier this year when he defeated him in a rematch at lightweight in January.

Now, just like he did when he lost to Nate Diaz, McGregor wants to right his wrong as he demanded an immediate rematch against Poirier.

WynnBET currently has Poirier set as the -140 (bet $140 to profit $100) favorite against McGregor, who is coming back as the +104 (bet $104 to profit) $100 underdog.

WynnBET has also announced a significant boost on McGregor's odds to +200, nearly a 100% increase in value with a $25 max bet.

But what about prop bets?

WynnBET also has prop bets listed for how long the fight will last. It has the over/under for rounds fought set at 1.5, with the over heavily favored at -225. If you think it will be a quick affair, you can bet on it being finished in under 1.5 rounds at +160.

If you want to get extra aggressive and bet on the fight going the full five rounds, you can bet on that at +300 odds. The fight to not go the distance is also listed, albeit at a steep price of -425.

Unless you think McGregor will finish the fight early with his strike, taking the over 1.5 rounds at -225 is the way to go if you don’t mind laying the juice.

The first fight between the two mixed martial artists was over in 1:46, but a Dustin Poirier proved in this year’s rematch that he was much improved in the seven years since the original bout. If you had bet the under 1.5 rounds in the rematch, you would have lost the bet by a mere two seconds as Poirier finished the Irishman at the 2:32 mark of the second round.

The biggest weapon Poirier had against McGregor was the leg kicks. “The Notorious” admitted after the fight that he underestimated his opponent, and tried to use the fight as a boxing tune-up for a planned bout against Manny Paciquao. That’s a dangerous gameplan to come into an MMA fight with, and the American proved what that’s the case.

If McGregor will be more prepared for the leg kicks of Poirier in the trilogy fight, there’s no reason to believe that the fight will go into the later rounds.

Look at the last rematch he had for proof of what type of gameplan he will have coming into this one. McGregor lost to Diaz in the second round of their 2016 fight, mainly due to putting in too much output in the first round which left him exhausted in the second.

In their rematch, McGregor fought a much more conservative and defensive gameplan, and the fight went the full 25 minutes.

Unless one of the two fighters can catch their opponent with a clean shot early, expect this bout to see the later rounds.

If you can’t decide what way you want to bet on the main event, there’s an enticing bet in the co-main event I wrote about that I think presents a lot of value.