UFC 286: Kamaru Usman vs. Leon Edwards Odds and Prediction

Aug 20, 2022; Salt Lake City, Utah, USA; Kamaru Usman (red gloves) fights Leon Edwards (blue gloves)
Aug 20, 2022; Salt Lake City, Utah, USA; Kamaru Usman (red gloves) fights Leon Edwards (blue gloves) / Jeffrey Swinger-USA TODAY Sports

The UFC is set to return this Saturday night and it's going to be a big one.

Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards will throw down in a trilogy fight with the Middleweight Championship on the line. The two first fought back in 2015, with Usman winning the fight via decision. The two fought in a rematch in August of last year, and Edwards won via KO with less than a minute to go in the fight, capturing the middlweight belt.

Now, the two will face each other in a rubber match as Usman attempts to win back his belt and his top spot in the division.

Let's take a look at the odds for the main event showdown.

Usman vs. Edwards Odds

Despite winning their fight in August, Leon Edwards is set as a sizable underdog in the trilogy fight.

That's likely due to Usman being on his way to a decision victory before Edwards landed the head kick that shocked the world. But, with that being said, I'm going to take Edwards as a 2/1 underdog to pull off the upset once again.

There has to be something said for the psychological edge Edwards will have coming into the fight. Last time, Usman was the No. 1 pound-for-pound fighter on the planet and looked almost unbeatable. Edwards now knows he can beat him, and maybe even more importantly, Usman knows he can lose.

It's also worth noting that Edwards has the more accurate fighter in their last bout, landing 73% of his significant strikes compared to just 61% by Usman.

I won't argue that Usman should be favored, but I think this fight is mispriced. Give me Edwards at +205.

You can find the full list of best available betting odds for the entire UFC 286 card below:

UFC 286 Odds

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.