UFC Fight Night 204: Alexander Volkov vs. Tom Aspinall Best Bets (How to Bet UFC Card)

The UFC goes international this weekend!

UFC Fight Night 204: Volkov vs. Aspinall features a battle of heavyweight stalwart Alexander Volkov and upstart To Aspinall. There are plenty of other intriguing matchups on the card including fan favorite Dan Hooker moving down to featherweight to face 17-1 Arnold Allen.

There's 12 fights on the card, so let's find some best bets! Here are a handful from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Column Record: 12-9 (+5.46 Units)

Main Event: Tom Aspinall (-130) vs. Alexander Volkov (+110)

This is Aspinall's coming out party in front of his hometown of London, England against a veteran in Volkov. But can he take care of business?

I think this price is fair enough to back him, given that Volkov is a one-dimensional fighter, a kickboxer by trade. However, Aspinall can hang with Vokov on the feet given the two stand fairly similar. The British born fighter is two inches shorter and has two inches shorter reach, but sports a more aggressive style, forcing the Russian to fight off his back foot.

While this is definitely a step up in class for Aspinall, he has shown a capable grappling game thus far, averaging more than 2 takedowns per 15 minutes in his UFC career, according to UFCStats.com.

I do wonder if Aspinall is going to have the cardio to go 25 minutes with Volkov but I believe this price is underselling his power and his ability to keep the pressure on early. I will go small with this bet and possible look to live bet it after we see Aspinall outside of the first two rounds, but I like backing him in front of his home town crowd.

PICK: Aspinall -130 0.5 Units

Dan Hooker (+100) vs. Arnold Allen (-125)

Hooker is coming down in weight to face upstart Allen, but I'm going to give the edge to the veteran who is sporting a four inch height advantage and five inch reach advantage.

Yes, Allen is going to hunt for takedowns, but Hooker has shown a capability to grapple in the past, posting a 78% takedown defense and nearly one per 15 minutes.

Hooker is going to likely being significantly bigger by the time the fight starts. This is a big step up in class for Allen and I think Hooker makes a statement at 145.

PICK: Hooker +100

Paul Craig (+160) vs. Nikita Krylov

This is pretty much an auto bet for me. Craig's submission skills are unbelievable for a light heavyweight, picking up 12 of his 15 wins by sub over his 20 fight career.

Krylov is a fine grappler himself, but he is too comfortable giving up his back, leading to a porous 55% takedown defense. This fight is going to find the ground at some point and I'm going to trust Craig to finish it.

PICK: Craig +160

You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!