UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo Preview and Best Bets

Dec 15, 2018; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Rob Font gets set for a main event bout against Jose Aldo
Dec 15, 2018; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Rob Font gets set for a main event bout against Jose Aldo / Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports
facebooktwitterreddit

The UFC is back on ESPN with a massive Fight Night Card, headlined by Rob Font and Jose Aldo in a bantamweight bout that will help sort out the division at the top and who is in the mix for a title shot soon against Petr Yan.

This fight is set to be a classic between two durable and strong strikers, but there are 13 other bouts taking place on Saturday night with betting value, so let's get to best bets!

Odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook

Main Event: Rob Font (-140) vs. Jose Aldo (+120)

I like Font in this fight as I see him pulling away in the championship rounds against the older Aldo.

The last time the 35-year-old Aldo went five rounds, he gassed out against Petr Yan in the bantamweight title fight. While Yan is the champ, Font is a similar type of fighter that can present issues in rounds four and five.

Font has shown the ability to go deep into fights and keep his output up. Overall, he averages more than 10 minutes per fight in the UFC while throwing more than five significant strikes per minute, two more than Aldo does.

While Aldo may have the finishing equity, I'm going to side with the rising challenger in Font to get this done.

PICK: Font -140

Co-Main Event: Rafael Fiziev (-125) vs. Brad Riddell (+105)

Both of these men are on a tear, each winning four straight going into this co-main event and the margin between the two is slim.

However, I'm going to side with Fiziev getting it done in this one with his impactful striking and ability to outpace his opponents. We have seen Riddell start slow in nearly all of his fights and finish strong to grab victories, but Fiziev is the opposite of that, starting hot and doing enough to get his hand raised late.

I expect Fiziev to take the first round of this bout and grind out an impressive decision. Don't sleep on the fact that the 'Ataman' is also a strong defensive grappler, yet to be taken down in his UFC career, while Riddell showed some grappling skills in a win over Drew Dober recently.

If Riddel struggles to land TDs, that will only bolster Fiziev's case in the judge's eyes.

PICK: Fiziev -125

Prop Bet: Jimmy Crute (-170) vs. Jamahal Hill (+145)

This fight profiles similarly to the last Hill fight, which he lost by finish after Paul Craig injured his arm in a submission attempt. I was on the losing end of that one considering I played Craig to win by submission, which he essentially did but Hill refused to tap and the ref called it a few seconds after Craig released his guard.

I digress, but I'm back for more. Crute is also a fantastic grappler who is always hunting for a submission and I don't trust that Hill can turn into a defensive ace on the ground. The Aussie averages nearly five takedowns per 15 minutes and at the price of +300 I see him getting this one to the mat and finishing Hall.

PICK: Crute by Submission +300


Bet $1, Win $100 if one punch is landed. . dark. Exclusive offer