UFC Vegas 55: Holm vs. Vieira Prediction, Best Bets

Aug 10, 2019; Montevideo, Uruguay; Veronica Macedo (Red Gloves) reacts to fight against Polyana
Aug 10, 2019; Montevideo, Uruguay; Veronica Macedo (Red Gloves) reacts to fight against Polyana / Jason Silva-USA TODAY Sports
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The UFC is on ESPN this weekend for a fight night card that features the return of former Bantamweight Champion Holly Holm. She returns against Ketlen Vieira in hopes of making another run at the belt. That's the main event of an 11 fight card that has plenty of high powered action.

Let's share some best bets for this weekend's UFC card:

Odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook

UFC RECORD: 24-31 -7.05U

Dusko Todorovic (+210) vs. Chidi Njokuani (-260)

This line seems like a massive overreaction after Njokuani's first round knockout over Mac-Andre Barriault in February, coming in 16 seconds. Yes, that's very impressive, but this is always the time I want to sell fighters.

Todorovic has the grappling upside here (3 submission victories) and is no slouch in the stand up, finding 7 KO's himself. I get why Njokuani is favored, but this seems too wide and based around his highlight victory. While 'Thunder' can be clipped and finished, I see this fight drawing out and Todorovic finding a finish, particularly on the ground.

After being lined around -110 in his first 2 UFC fights (both victories) Njokuani is now receiving a massive boost from oddsmakers, and I'll play back against it with a more than capable Todorovic.

PICK: Todorovic +210

Polyana Viana (+110) vs. Tabatha Ricci (-130)

Is the wrong fighter favored in this one? Viana is sporting a 4-inch height and 6 inch reach advantage and has fought the far superior competition. She comes off of a pair of consecutive submission victories and will have the grappling edge over Ricci in this one.

Meanwhile, "Baby Shark" has had an interesting recent stretch. She won as a -2250 favorite in her final LFA bout to improve to 4-0 in her professional career, before moving up to Flyweight and losing to Manon Fiorot as a big underdog. She came back down to Strawweight, winning a unanimous decision as a big favorite.

Sure, she is 1-1 in the UFC now, but giving up this much size to a fighter with 10 more bouts under her belt, why should she be the favorite? I see far more upside for Viana, who has faced the tougher competition and has the size advantage to take control of this fight. If this hits the ground, I also give her the nod to find a submission.

This is my favorite look of the card, Vianna was my first pick in this week's bet draft on Jab, Cross, Hook:

PICK: Viana ML (+110) 1.5U

UFC Fight Night 55 Best Bets

  • Sam Hughes (+130)
  • Jailton Almeida/Felipe Colares (-120)
  • Vince Morales (+200) 0.75U