U.S. Open Hole in One Prop Bets (Will Anyone Ace a Hole at The Country Club in Brookline?)

There's an almost limitless amount of bets you can place on this week's U.S. Open.

One of the most popular prop bets to place, is whether or not someone will record a hole-in-one.

Let's take a look at the consensus odds for a hole-in-one this week at The Country Club, and then I'll dive into whether or not it's a good bet to place.

Before we dive into that, find out how to enter to win $1,000 in our tweet below.

Will a Hole-in-One Happen at the U.S. Open?

• Yes -165
• No +125

With the odds set at -165, the implied probability of a hole-in-one at the U.S. Open this week at 62.26%.

Believe it or not, hole-in-ones at the U.S. Open haven't been very common over the past decade. There were none scored last year at Torrey Pines, two recorded in 2020 at the 165 yard Par 3 7th hole at Winged Foot, one in 2019 at Pebble Beach, and then the most recent one before that was in 2014 at Pinehurst.

The number one thing we must look at to determine if a hole-in-one will occur, is how long the Par 3s at Brookline are.

The hole where we are most likely to see an ace is the short Par 3 11th. It's just 131 yards, so expect golfers this week to be able to stick it close. The other three are 215, 192, and 202 yards long. I don't think we're likely to see one there.

We didn't see a hole-in-one the last time the U.S. Open was hosted at Brookline in 1988, but the short Par 3 wasn't used.

As Derek Duncan of Golf Digest writes, it was bypassed in previous editions of the U.S. Open at The Country Club.

"The big news is the addition of the short par-3 11th to the championship, historically known as “Redan” and played day to day as the Main Course’s 12th hole. In previous Opens this small, downhill one-shot morsel has been bypassed—competitors would putt-out on the par-5 10th (considered one of the game’s great holes and played as the Main Course’s 11th, and as the ninth in previous Opens), then walk around the par 3 to tee it up at the next hole, a par 4 playing back in the direction of the clubhouse."

With a hole being that short, I'm willing to bet that one of the best golfers in the world will find the bottle of the cup with their tee shot.

Prediction: Yes hole-in-one -165

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.