UT Arlington vs. San Francisco Prediction and Odds for Monday, December 19 (The Dons Might Get Caught Peaking)

San Francisco Dons forward Zane Meeks (5)
San Francisco Dons forward Zane Meeks (5) / Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

It’s a busy time of year for everyone in the country, but especially if you’re a San Francisco Don. On Saturday they beat UNLV, 75-73 out in Las Vegas, and now they’re traveling home to take on UT Arlington. The 9-3 Dons are then right back in action in two days against No. 25 Arizona State. 

The UT Arlington Broncos last played nine days ago, a loss to Texas State that dropped them to 4-7, so maybe fresh legs will put San Francisco on upset alert. Here are the odds for this late-night contest out west. 

UT Arlington vs. San Francisco Odds, Spread and Total

UT Arlington vs. San Francisco Prediction and Odds

San Francisco is the much better team in this game, there’s no question about that, but the Broncos are strong at the defensive end of the court and that could carry them tonight. Arlington only gives up 62.5 points a night, 46th best in the country, and hold their opponents to under 40% shooting from the field. Combine that with tired legs for San Francisco, a team that typically plays at a faster pace, and I could absolutely see the Dons letting this one be much closer than a 15 point spread. 

The advantage for the Dons will be their pace of play, they’re 114th in the country in possessions per game and UT Arlington is 337th, over six possessions less. Typically that would make me fall in love with San Francisco as a favorite in this game, but the context matters. The Dons definitely think of themselves as a tournament team like they were last season and they’ll need an at-large bid with Gonzaga in their conference. So, a win over No. 25 Arizona State on Wednesday would go a long way. I know they’re looking ahead on the schedule and they might get caught. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change