UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 5

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders quarterback Chase Cunningham.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders quarterback Chase Cunningham. / Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Middle Tennessee pulled one of the biggest upsets of the season in Week 4, upsetting Miami on the road as 25.5-point underdogs.

Now, the Blue Raiders are on a short week as they play host to defending Conference USA champion UTSA in their conference debut. Can Middle Tennessee continue to play high level football or will the defending champs hand them a loss?

Let's check out the odds and get the latest on each squad heading into Friday night:

UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Odds, Spread and Total

UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Trends

  • Middle Tennessee is 3-1 against the spread (ATS), covering in its last three games
  • UTSA has gone OVER in all four games this season
  • Middle Tennessee is 1-2 to the OVER as an underdog this season

UTSA vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction and Pick

Despite coming off of a monumental upset, I still see value in backing Middle Tennessee as home underdogs.

The Roadrunners are the defending conference champions but have been dealing with cluster injuries on the offensive line. While the injury report hasn't been released yet, last week coach Jeff Traylor said that the team was moving defensive linemen to the offensive side of the ball to fill the depth chart.

This is something worth monitoring as UTSA takes on a Blue Raiders defensive line that has been formidable this season. The team is top five in tackles for loss this season (35) and is top 10 in defending both explosive runs and passes.

After putting up 125 yards in a loss at James Madison in its season opener, MTSU has put up 34 or more points in the next three, including 45 at Miami last weekend. Could this offense be rounding into form ahead of conference play? UTSA's defense hasn't inspired a ton of confidence this season, allowing 30 or more to three FBS teams and 24 to Texas Southern. Overall, the Roadrunners are 87th in yards per play.

On a short week, and with injury questions all over, I like Middle Tennessee to keep this to a field goal or lower against the defending CUSA champs.