Betsided

Vikings vs. Lions Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 14 (Minnesota's Luck Will Run Dry)

By Iain MacMillan

Dec 5, 2021; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) looks for an open man
Dec 5, 2021; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) looks for an open man / Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports
facebooktwitterreddit

The Minnesota Vikings continue to defy the odds and win games that they statistically have no business in winning.

Hats off to them for being 10-2, but last week's game against the Jets was a perfect example of how their season has gone. They were outgained by the Jets 486 yards to 287, 5.9 yards per play to 4.3 yards per play.

Despite that, they kept the Jets to 1-for-6 in the red zone and managed to scrap out a 27-22 victory.

Now, they'll face the Detroit Lions in Week 14, who they beat in Week 3, securing a come from behind 28-24 win. Can they complete the season series sweep and improve to 11-2?

Let's take a look at the odds.

Vikings vs. Lions Odds, Spread, and Total

Vikings vs. Lions Betting Trends

  • The Lions are 8-4 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • The Lions are 5-2 ATS at home this season
  • The Vikings are 1-2 ATS this season as an underdog
  • The Lions have gone OVER in eight of 12 games this season
  • The Lions have gone OVER both times they were a favorite this season

Vikings vs. Lions Prediction and Pick

I continue to lose money betting against the Minnesota Vikings, but I refuse to stop. They rank 29th in the NFL in net yards per play, but yet continue to find ways to win games. The Lions rank 25th, but their offense has been much more effective.

Detroit ranks seventh in yards per play at 5.8, while the Vikings rank 21st at 5.2.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Vikings rank 30th in opponent yards per play and have allowed 6.5 yards per play over their last three games.

A big reason the Vikings have thrived over the last few weeks is their red zone defense has stepped up in a big way. In their last three games, teams have only scored a touchdown on 25% of their red zone trips against them, the second best mark in the NFL over that stretch.

But now they're about to meet their match in that department. The Lions hold the best red zone offense in the NFL, scoring a touchdown on 73.91% of their red zone trips.

I think Detroit gets their revenge from early in the season and I'm willing to back them as 1-point favorites on Sunday.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Home/NFL Picks