Villanova vs. Kansas Prediction and Odds for Final Four (Jayhawks are Rolling at the Perfect Time)
The No. 2 Villanova Wildcats will take on the No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks in the Final Four on Saturday, April 2nd.
The Wildcats are winners of the South Region, downing the Houston Cougars in the regional final. Kansas stormed back from a halftime deficit to the Miami Hurricanes, eventually beating them by a final score of 76-50 to capture the Midwest.
The winner will face either Duke or UNC for the right to cut down the nets and be given the title of National Champions. Here are the odds via WynnBET for this Final Four showdown.
Villanova vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, and Total
Spread:
- Villanova +3.5 (-115)
- Kansas -3.5 (-105)
Moneyline:
- Villanova +145
- Kansas -175
Total:
- 133.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Villanova vs. Kansas Betting Trends
- Kansas is 2-2 ATS in the 2022 NCAA Tournament
- The UNDER is 3-1 in Kansas games this tournament.
- Villanova is 4-0 ATS in the 2022 NCAA Tournament.
- The UNDER is 3-1 in Villanova games this tournament.
- Villanova is 7-1 ATS all time vs. Kansas
Villanova vs. Kansas Final Four Prediction and Pick
The number one thing you need to consider when betting on any Villanova game, is how its opponent fares defending the three-ball. The Wildcats rank 20th in the country in three-point shot rate, with 46.1% of their shots coming from beyond the arc. They may need to look elsewhere for points in this game, as the Jayhawks boast one of the best perimeter defenses in the country. They rank 24th in opponent three-point field goal percentage, allowing teams to shoot just 30% from three-point land.
It also doesn't bode well for Villanova that Kansas ranks 74th in two-point shot rate, but the Wildcats interior is the weakness of their defense, ranking 109th in opponent two-point field goal percentage.
If Villanova wants to win this game, they need to be able to force Kansas to cough up the ball. When the Jayhawks have run into trouble this season, it's been when they turn the ball over at a high rate. They rank 118th in turnovers per possession, but the Wildcats are average at best at forcing turnovers.
At the end of the day, I can't look past the stylistic advantage that Kansas has in this game.