Virginia Tech vs. Duke Prediction and Odds for ACC Conference Tournament Final (Hokies Can Cover vs. Blue Devils)

Mar 11, 2022; Brooklyn, NY, USA; Virginia Tech Hokies guard Storm Murphy (5) drives to the basket
Mar 11, 2022; Brooklyn, NY, USA; Virginia Tech Hokies guard Storm Murphy (5) drives to the basket / Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Virginia Tech's late surge to the NCAA Tournament reaches a breaking point on Sunday night in the ACC Tournament Championship.

While Virginia Tech may have done enough already to solidify an NCAA Tournament berth, they can lock up a spot by winning the ACC Championship and beating the No. 1 seed Duke.

The Blue Devils won the lone meeting at Cameron Indoor this season, but the team hasn't looked the part of a National Championship contender of late, failing to cover in three straight games.

Here are the odds for the ACC Championship game from WynnBET Sportsbook:

Virginia Tech vs. Duke Odds, Spread and Total


  • Virginia Tech: +6 (-110)
  • Duke -6 (-110)


  • Virginia Tech: +210
  • Duke: -260

Total: 136.5 (Over -101/Under -110)

Virginia Tech vs. Duke Prediction and Pick

I simply can't get there with Duke right now, who look like they are a mess on defense and have been sucked into isolation tendencies. Virginia Tech may struggle with the size of the Blue Devils, but I believe that they are playing with enough confidence to stay within shouting distance.

Of course, Virginia Tech may be playing for their Tournament lives so the pressure will be on for them to show out. However, the team looked the part against UNC, holding the sweet shooting Tar Heels to 3-for-26 shooting from beyond the arc. The team's packline defense did a fantastic job of keeping the Heels out of the paint and to shoot from the perimeter, which will be key against the likes of Paolo Banchero and A.J. Griffin.

There can be some concern about Virginia Tech running out of legs in the second half, playing their fourth game in as many nights, so I see the most value in taking the Hokies in the first half +3 (-105). The Hokies play at an incredible deliberate pace, 14th slowest adjusted tempo in the nation according to KenPom, which can limit the possessions and keep them within a possession through the first 20 minutes.

In a big game like this, I'm going to fade Duke to come out of the gates hot.

LEAN: Virginia Tech 1H +3 (-105)

You can find all of Reed's bets