Virginia Tech vs. Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 6

Oct 1, 2022; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; Virginia Tech Hokies quarterback Grant Wells (6) with
Oct 1, 2022; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; Virginia Tech Hokies quarterback Grant Wells (6) with / Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

A battle of ACC foes goes down Saturday afternoon as the Pittsburgh Panthers try to bounce back after one of the biggest upsets of the season.

The Pitt Panthers lost to Georgia Tech at home as 22-point favorites, setting up an interesting situation as they face a rebuilding Virginia Tech team under first year head coach Brent Pry. Will Pitt respond and cover a two-touchdown spread?

Let's check out the odds and dish out a best bet:

Virginia Tech vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread and Total

Virginia Tech vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

  • Pat Narduzzi-led Pittsburgh teams are 5-16 against the spread (ATS) as a touchdown favorite or more
  • Both teams are 1-4 ATS this season
  • Virginia Tech has gone UNDER in all five games this season
  • Pitt is 3-0-1 to the OVER this season

Virginia Tech vs. Pittsburgh Prediction and Pick

With a total this low and the spread over two scores, I need to take Virginia Tech.

Yes, the Hokies could only muster 10 points against a listless North Carolina defense and Pitt is far better on that side of the ball, but I do think they can keep this between two scores due to their own defense.

Pry, who was the Penn State defensive coordinator before taking this job, has already installed a stout defense which is 21st in yards per play. They are particularly strong against the run, allowing about three yards per carry, which will be crucial against a Pitt offense that is far better on the ground than the air (23rd in EPA/Play when rushing vs. 53rd when passing).

Many will back Pitt in a "bounce back" spot but this offense is not built to run up the score and I believe Virginia Tech can keep it within two scores due to their strong defense. Also, Narduzzi's struggles as a big favorite are well documented and will hold him back yet again like last week.