Wagner vs. Fairfield Prediction and Odds: Wrong Team Favored?

Jun 11, 2021; Eugene, Oregon, USA; An NCAA logo flag at the NCAA Track and Field Championships at
Jun 11, 2021; Eugene, Oregon, USA; An NCAA logo flag at the NCAA Track and Field Championships at / Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
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Wagner takes the short trip to Fairfield for some afternoon hoops on Christmas week. The Seahawks made the NCAA Tournament last season and are looking to round into form ahead of Northeast Conference play.

Let's see if they can grab a victory on the road in a short spread game at WynnBET Sportsbook.

Wagner vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Wagner: +1.5 (-105)
  • Fairfield: -1.5 (-115)

Moneyline:

N/A

Total: 133.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Wagner vs. Fairfield Prediction and Pick

These are two similar teams in that they like to get their offense from the interior. Each of them are top 100 in percentage of points on two point shots and are very disciplined on the glass. Both Wagner and Fairfield are top 100 in offensive and defensive rebounding rates, but the visiting Seahawks are top 20 in turnover rate and will put Fairfield's ball handlers to the test.

While the Stags have strong metrics protecting the rock, top 50 in the nation in steal rate allowed, they haven't seen the ball pressure that Wagner presents, so I'll take a stab at the short road underdog in a game that figures to be tight late. Keep in mind that the Seahawks are shooting nearly 78% from the free throw line, 26th best in the country while Fairfield shoots below 72%.

LEAN: Wagner +1.5 (-105), play to PK