Wake Forest vs. Florida State Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 5

Sep 24, 2022; Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA; Wake Forest Demon Deacons quarterback Sam Hartman
Sep 24, 2022; Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA; Wake Forest Demon Deacons quarterback Sam Hartman / Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Two ACC foes meet in Tallahassee in one of the most interesting matchups of the Week 5 college football slate.

Wake Forest lost a heartbreaker to Clemson last week, but must turn their attention quickly to the undefeated Florida State Seminoles. FSU has looked stronger than they have in recent years with quarterback Jordan Travis under center, but can they win with margin against Sam Hartman and the Demon Deacons?

Let's check out the odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:

Wake Forest vs. Florida State Odds, Spread and Total

Wake Forest vs. Florida State Betting Trends

  • Both teams are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • Wake Forest is 22-18-1 ATS off a straight up loss under Dave Clawson
  • Florida State is 3-6 ATS as a home favorite under Mike Norvell
  • Florida State is 8-10 ATS against ACC opponents under Norvell

Wake Forest vs. Florida State Prediction and Pick

Florida State has looked revitalized this season, knocking off the likes of LSU and at Louisville, but I believe the market is overreacting to their recent success. After opening at around a pick, the team has been steamed out to a touchdown favorite against a formidable Wake Forest team.

Wake's secondary could be vulnerable to explosive plays (outside the top 100 in explosive pass defense), but the defense line has held up nicely under first year defensive coordinator Brad Lambert, ranking top 20 in tackles for loss and 43rd in yards per play allowed.

The Demon Decans went toe-to-toe with Clemson last week, airing it out with Hartman and the team's mesh RPO scheme. AT Perry and Donovan Greene looked fantastic in the passing game and the FSU defense is beatable, ranking 96th in defensive success rate.

This is a swift over correction in market sentiment and at a touchdown or better I need to play the proven Wake offense to stay close to the Noles. If they are playing from behind I still trust Hartman to get the late cover in.