Warriors vs. Bucks Prediction and Odds: Can Warriors Grab Upset Win?

Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo. / Handout Photo-USA TODAY Sports

The Golden State Warriors and Milwaukee Bucks are two of the league’s top NBA Finals contenders, and they will go head-to-head on Thursday night in Milwaukee. 

Both teams could be without a key player in this one, as Draymond Green has been ruled out for the Warriors and Jrue Holiday is listed as doubtful for Milwaukee. 

The Bucks are just 3-7 when Holiday is out of the lineup this season and 23-10 when he plays, but can they turn that trend around on Thursday night?

Here are the odds via WynnBET

Warriors vs. Bucks Odds, Spread and Total


  • Warriors: +1.5 (-110)
  • Bucks: -1.5 (-110)


  • Warriors: +110
  • Bucks: -130


  • 223.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Warriors vs. Bucks Prediction and Pick

While the Bucks haven’t been great without Holiday this season, the Warriors have also struggled when Green is sidelined, going 2-4 in the six games he has missed so far. 

This line opened on Wednesday at Warriors +4, but it has steadily moved down to Warriors +1.5. 

Depending upon how you value these injuries, this game is really a toss up, but it is worth noting that the Bucks have lost four of their last five games coming into this matchup. 

Golden State is still trying to get Klay Thompson acclimated to the rotation, but it still has the No. 1 defensive rating in the NBA. 

If Golden State can find a way to slow down one of Khris Middleton or Giannis Antetounmpo, there’s going to be a lot of pressure on the Bucks’ supporting cast. 

The Warriors also benefit from Holiday being out as it will change the primary defender on Steph Curry, which could allow him to continue his resurgence after a little bit of a shooting slump last week. 

I’ll back the Warriors to get the upset, but kudos to you if you got this at +4. 

Lean: Warriors Moneyline (+110)