Warriors vs Celtics Best Parlay for Game 4 (Can We Trust Boston's Offense?)

2022 NBA Finals - Game Three
2022 NBA Finals - Game Three / Maddie Meyer/GettyImages

The Warriors need to find their footing in Game 4 to even this series against the Celtics. If not, they'll be playing for their season in Game 5. Not an ideal place to be in, but it should lead to a scrappy, close game.

The Celtics are up 2-1 in the series and have been the better team for every quarter except the third. We'll be incorporating that into this parlay as well as a few player props. Without further delay, let's jump into this parlay, which pays +1154 odds at WynnBet.

NBA Parlay Picks Today for Warriors vs Celtics Game 4

  • Celtics UNDER 109.0 Points (-110)
  • Al Horford UNDER 10.5 Points (-115)
  • Warriors +0.5 Third Quarter (-105)
  • Marcus Smart UNDER 5.5 Assists (-125)

Celtics Offense Bound to Regress After Hot Game 3

I already explained why I like Horford UNDER 10.5 points and Warriors +0.5 in the third quarter in our daily prop story. Long story short, Horford is playing fewer minutes in the finals and hasn't gone over 11 points in back-to-back games in over a month and the Warriors are killing the Celtics in the third quarter this series. You can read the full explanation here, but forgive me if I don't repeat myself.

As for Smart and the Celtics UNDER, here's the thought process.

Smart hasn't gone over 5 assists since Game 3 against Miami. If you recall, that was the game he got injured. Since then, he's playing fewer minutes and handling the ball less. That's resulted in him averaging 4.3 assists per game in his last six games.

I foresee a gritty, low-scoring affair here with plenty of ugly basketball on display. The Warriors are going to need to lean on their defense to steal a win on the road. That should lead to fewer points and fewer scoring opportunities.

Speaking of scoring, the Celtics have become an every-other-game scoring team. They haven't gone over 109 points in back-to-back games since their opening series against the Nets.

Granted, the Bucks and Heat are better defensive teams than the Warriors, but when the Warriors won Game 2 it was because they shut the Celtics down in the second and third quarters. If they're going to get this win, or even keep this game close, they need a similar defensive performance in Game 4.