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Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction and Odds for Game 4 (Expect Slower Pace in Game 4)

By Peter Dewey

Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic.
Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic. / Tom Pennington/GettyImages
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The Western Conference Finals have not been as intriguing as we may have thought, as the Golden State Warriors are up 3-0 in the series after taking care of business on the road in Game 3 on Sunday. 

Luka Doncic and the Mavericks just seem to be outclassed in this matchup, and they have been unable to beat the Warriors’ small-ball lineup with Andrew Wiggins playing some of the best basketball of his career. 

Doncic seems destined to at least steal his team a game, but with Steph Curry playing as well as he is, are the Warriors going to walk to the Finals? 

Here are the odds for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals via WynnBET: 

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Warriors +1 (-108)
  • Mavericks -1 (-108)

Moneyline:

  • Warriors: -105
  • Mavericks: -115

Total: 

  • 215.5 (Over -108/Under -108)

Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction and Pick

There is a little fear that the Warriors have a clunker of a game similar to Game 5 of the second round against the Memphis Grizzlies, but Golden State has also looked like the best team in this series for all but the first half of Game 2. 

The Mavericks have very little adjustments to go to, as they’ve lost games where they’ve made 20 3-pointers and lost Game 3 with Luka Doncic scoring 40 points. 

The Warriors may want to close this series out sooner rather than later to rest up for the NBA Finals, but I’m going to lean with the total since Golden State is -105 to win the game. 

Only Game 2 went over this number, and the Mavericks made 21 shots from beyond the arc in that game while Golden State shot over 55 percent. 

That seemed like a bit of an anomaly, and with both of these teams ranking in the top seven in defense this season, I think we’re destined for another under game. 

If the Mavs have any chance to win, it’s going to be by slowing the game down and playing through Luka. That’s a recipe for the UNDER in Game 4. 

Lean: UNDER 215.5 (-108)

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in the NBA this season here.

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