Washington vs. UCLA Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 5

Sep 10, 2022; Pasadena, California, USA; UCLA Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson (1) throws
Sep 10, 2022; Pasadena, California, USA; UCLA Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson (1) throws / Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

UCLA plays host to Washington in a battle of two undefeated PAC-12 clubs.

Washington has been one of the biggest surprises thus far, blowing out the likes of Michigan State and Stanford as they jump inside the top 15 in the polls. Meanwhile, UCLA and veteran quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson have flown under the radar with their unbeaten start, beating one Power 5 team in the process in Colorado last week.

Who has the edge in this marquee matchup on Friday night? Here are the latest betting odds:

Washington vs. UCLA Odds, Spread and Total

Washington vs. UCLA Betting Trends

  • UCLA is 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS) as a home underdog under Chip Kelly
  • Washington is 4-0 ATS this season
  • Washington is 3-0-1 to the OVER this season
  • UCLA is 3-1 to the OVER this season

Washington vs. UCLA Prediction and Pick

I expect fireworks in this game with two explosive offenses taking the field.

Washington's offense has been fantastic under first year head coach Kalen DeBoer and Indiana transfer quarterback Michael Penix Jr (who played for DeBoer in Bloomington). The team is top 15 in the country in yards per play, averaging 7.17 YPP and is top three in limiting havoc. The veteran Penix is keeping the team on schedule (13th in success rate) and avoiding miscues.

UCLA's defense hasn't been challenged all that much, so the efficient Huskies can take advantage, but I'm concerned about Washington's ability to limit the explosive DTR and Bruins offense. Washington is bottom third in the country against both explosive runs and passes, which can be problematic against someone like DTR, who is dynamic as a passer or a rusher.

With the help of running back Zach Charbonnet, the Bruins offense will be the toughest test for the Huskies in their first road game of the season.

While I've been incredible impressed with Washington thus far, the team is +5 in turnover margin, tied for the 13th highest mark in the country and hasn't left Seattle yet this season. The total is high, and rightfully so, but I like DTR to keep the Bruins in this one at over a field goal, especially with a late cover possible.

It's worth noting that DeBoer's Fresno State Bulldogs went to UCLA and beat them in one of the craziest games of the year last season. While the Bulldogs got the win, DeBoer is well aware of the talented Bruins QB, who combined for over 300 yards and three touchdowns.