West Virginia vs. Kansas Prediction and Odds for Big 12 Tournament Quarterfinal (Don't Expect Many Points)
By Ben Heisler
We've got a 9-1 matchup on Day 2 of the Big 12 Conference Tournament in Kansas City as the top seeded Kansas Jayhawks take on the No. 9 West Virginia Mountaineers from the T-Mobile Center.
KU dominated both matchups against West Virginia earlier this season; winning by 26 in a blowout at Allen Fieldhouse back on January 15th, and then by 13 a month later on the road in Morgantown.
With another double digit spread projected, can KU cover three consecutive times against their Big 12 foe?
Here are the latest odds for today's 2 p.m. local time (3 p.m. ET) tip at WynnBET Sportsbook.
West Virginia vs. Kansas Odds, Spread and Total
Spread:
- West Virginia +10 (-110)
- Kansas -10 (-110)
Moneyline:
- West Virginia +375
- Kansas -500
Total:
- 146.5 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)
West Virginia vs. Kansas Prediction and Pick
The Mountaineers and Bob Huggins are known for their aggressive, pressing defense, but that hasn't always translated to lower-scoring games this year. "Press Virginia" has actually gone 19-13-0 in OVERS this season, hitting the UNDER at just a 41.6% clip.
Today, however, I believe the under to be the right side.
Both West Virginia and Kansas have very good defenses, with KU coming in as the 32nd ranked KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency team in the country. WVU follows at 58th in the country overall.
However, to me, this is less about the Mountaineers' defense and more about how KU can stop West Virginia from getting going.
West Virginia ranks fourth in the Big 12 in three point shooting percentage at 33.3%. Kansas is best in the league in limiting threes; with opposing schools shooting just 27.5% against them this year. The Jayhawks have also been sensational at limiting teams to quality shots, ranking 50th in the country in opponent effective field goal percentage. The Mountaineers have struggled all season with looks inside the arc, and that trend should continue to day, limiting their ability to get easy looks and drive inside.
The Mountaineers went 4-18 and 3-11 in their two games vs. the Jayhawks this season for a combined 3-point percentage of 24.1%. When you can't make shots from anywhere on the court, your already doomed against this KU game.
I'll back the under in West Virginia's short turnaround from last night.
PICK: UNDER 146.5 (-110)
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