What Happens to Rest of Big 12 if Texas & Oklahoma Join SEC?

Could the Big XII background behind OU coach Lincoln Riley be substituted for an SEC banner in a few years?
Could the Big XII background behind OU coach Lincoln Riley be substituted for an SEC banner in a few years? / Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
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When news broke Wednesday that Texas and Oklahoma were considering a move to the SEC to form a 16-team superconference, the college football world shared a collective Owen Wilson-esque, "wow," and then seemingly poured one out to the beginning of the end for college football conferences.

The Houston Chronicle's report of the move, along with the news that UT and OU would let their Big 12 contract run out in 2025 helped to add much needed perspective that this change would not happen overnight. But the question remains as to what would happen to the Big 12 if two powerhouse schools vacate within the next four years?

Right now at WynnBET, Oklahoma is the prohibitive favorite to win the Big 12 conference at -116 odds. Texas comes in at third at +600, with only Iowa State ahead in second place at +350.

As for NCAA Championship projections, the Sooners are currently tied for third with Ohio State at +700, trailing only Alabama (+250) and Clemson (+400). The Longhorns are barely considered a threat to contend for a title with +7500 odds; the same as programs like Miami-FL and USC.

Iowa State would then become the top candidate to represent the conference in the futures market at 40/1 odds. With the exception of the PAC 12, that would make the Big 12 the second-lowest ranked conference for championship odds for their top ranked school. That's not to say these odds wouldn't shift and adjust over the next several seasons, but unless the Big 12 starts recruiting other power house programs to join them, we're looking at a fairly bleak college football operation moving forward.


Expect Oklahoma to dominate? Could Texas surprise the field this year?

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