What We Learned as NFL Bettors in Week 3

The Rams have established themselves as one of the best teams in the NFL after taking out the defending champions.
The Rams have established themselves as one of the best teams in the NFL after taking out the defending champions. / Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

It feels like we blinked and we’re already three weeks deep into the NFL season.

As each week passes us by, it’s important to take a look back at what worked and what didn’t as sports bettors. While the exact positives and negatives will be different for each person, there are things that we can take away as a whole from each week.

Let’s dive into the top three things we learned from betting on Week 3 of the NFL season. Any and all odds listed are via WynnBET Sportsbook.

Sometimes the Obvious Bet is the Right Bet

It’s hard to fall into the trap of betting against the public, and siding with the sharps. Especially when the public got crushed in the first two weeks of the season.

I found myself falling for this same mistake this week, as I tried to get cute by taking the Texans, Jets, and 49ers and a large part of why I did it was because I felt it was the “sharp” play. Well, there’s nothing sharp about losing a bet.

The Cardinals (-7.5) were the most public play of the weekend, with 91% of the money at WynnBET on them to cover, and they did just that against the Jaguars. The public was also on the right side of all three prime time games with the Panthers, Packers, and Cowboys all covering the spread. The Titans also had 94.4% of the money on them to cover against the Colts, and once again, they did.

Sometimes it's best not to overthink your bets.

Home Field Advantage Might be Dead

With fans back in full attendance this NFL season, a lot of fans and bettors believed that home field advantage would play a big factor in games. That certainly hasn’t been the case so far this season, as home teams are only 21-27 against the spread through the first three weeks.

The classic belief was that home teams have a three point advantage in the NFL, but maybe we need to start reconsidering that notion.

The Buccaneers are Vulnerable

The Buccaneers had been one an undefeated streak ever since their BYE week last season, and they looked almost unbeatable through the first two weeks of the 2021 campaign.

That was until they ran into the Los Angeles Rams who exposed where their weaknesses lie.

Matthew Stafford and the Rams threw for 331 yards for an average of nine yards per pass attempt against the Bucs which showed that their defensive secondary is an area teams can exploit moving forward. Running the ball proved to be tough against the Tampa Bay defense, but if teams want to find success, they should look to the air.

I guess the Buccaneers aren’t as invincible as we once thought they were.

Despite the loss, they’re still betting favorites to win Super Bowl 56.

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