Wild Card Weekend Betting Cheat Sheet: Patriots vs. Bills

Gearing up for Wild Card Weekend and need some betting advice? Cool, we got you covered.

The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots meet on Saturday night for the third time since Week 13 in what could be the game of the weekend.

These two split the season series amongst AFC East foes and will settle it with a spot in the Divisional Round on the line.

Let's give you the nuts and bolts of this rubber match before we give you a pick.

Patriots vs. Bills Info For Spread Bettors

• The Bills are 4-point favorites at WynnBET Sportsbook
• This line has not budged from the opening odds early in the week as their appears to be solid two-way action on both sides
• The Bills went 8-5-1 as favorites against the spread (ATS) this season
• The Patriots went 3-2 ATS as underdogs this season
• The Bills have covered seven of their last 10 games
• The Patriots have covered five of eight road games this season

Patriots vs. Bills Info For Moneyline Bettors

• The Bills are -200 on the moneyline to win ($200 bet wins you $100)
• The Patriots are +165 to win ($100 wins you $165)
• New England is 6-2 away from home this season
• The Bills are 9-5 straight up (SU) as favorites this season
• Rookie quarterbacks are 8-10 over the past five seasons making their first postseason start
• The Patriots won in Buffalo earlier this season, 14-10

Patriots vs. Bills Info For Over/Under Bettors

• The total is set at 44 points (Over -110/Under -110)
• The total has gone up half a point since opening at 43.5
• Unders have hit at a 65.9% clip dating back to 2010 in the Wild Card Round
• Bills have gone under in nine of 14 games as favorites this season
• Bills have gone under in six of nine home games this season
• Patriots have gone under in two of five games this season as underdogs

Verdict

Iain McMillian made the case for the Bills earlier in the week, and I can't disagree with his points.

As McMillian notes, the Bills may have lost to the Patriots at home, but extreme weather played a role in that one and Buffalo had a chance to win it late.

When the two met in Foxboro a few weeks later, Josh Allen played one of the best games of his career to grab a 33-21 win.

I believe the first loss under unfortunate circumstances threw many off the scent of the Bills, who are a true Super Bowl contender.

As McMillian puts it, "The Bills rank in the top five in almost every major statistic this NFL this season, and I think they get the job done on Saturday night."

PICK: Bills -4