Will Joe Burrow or Matt Stafford Throw an Interception in Super Bowl?

With the Super Bowl a little over a week away, let's dive into some QB props for Matthew Stafford and Joe Burrow.
With the Super Bowl a little over a week away, let's dive into some QB props for Matthew Stafford and Joe Burrow. / Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

UPDATE: First Interception of 2022 Super Bowl Goes to Matt Stafford

Matthew Stafford was picked off by Jessie Bates in the first half of Super Bowl 56. He was -164 at WynnBET to throw an interception in the game.

What follows is the initial story on the odds for Stafford and Burrow to throw an interception in the Super Bowl.

With the Super Bowl less than two weeks away, we have some time to breathe and sift over the mountains of props and data leading up to the big game.

One interesting player prop that I was interested in diving deeper into was whether or not each QB will throw an interception during Super Bowl LVI.

WynnBET has set the odds for Joe Burrow to throw one or more interceptions at -149, while Matthew Stafford's odds are set at -164 to throw an interception.

Will Joe Burrow Throw an Interception in Super Bowl 56?

Burrow's interception rate more than doubled after his five interception rookie season. With just 10 games under his belt, that works out to 0.5 interceptions per game in 2020-21. This season, however, Burrow had 14 in the regular season and ended the season tied for 24th in the league. While this isn’t great news for Bengals’ bettors, there is a silver lining here. 

First off, Burrow started the season off as an interception machine with four picks in his first three games. Despite this, Burrow shaped up as the season progressed and did not throw a single interception during his final four weeks of regular season play. Burrow was unable to keep that streak going too far into the playoffs and has since been picked off once in two straight games. 

The Rams rank sixth in the NFL with an opponent interception thrown mark of 3.10 percent. LA also ranks eighth in takeaways per game on defense. I think if I had to bet on one of these guys to get picked off in the Super Bowl, it would be Burrow. That doesn’t mean I am expecting a bad game from Burrow. WynnBET Sportsbook currently has his total passing yards at 277.5 and I like the OVER at -115 for the second-year superstar. 

Will Matthew Stafford Throw an Interception in Super Bowl 56?

While Stafford was a prolific touchdown scorer this year with 41 during the regular season, he was also pretty active in throwing interceptions. It is kind of a shame that after finishing second in the touchdown pass race, he finished tied for 30th in interceptions with 17.

For those of you keeping track at home, that is a rate of exactly one interception per game this season. However, during the playoffs, Stafford has cut down on his turnovers and has thrown just one in his last three games. That has to be a relief for Rams fans after Stafford ended the year with three straight multi-interception games where he threw seven total picks.

It’s worth noting that Stafford threw around half of the interceptions at home as he did on the road. This is very important due to the fact that the host team will be playing in the Super Bowl for the second time in history. Stafford has six interceptions at SoFi Stadium compared with 11 on the road.

On the Bengals side of things, Cincy is the ninth ranked team in the NFL in terms of an opponent interception thrown at 2.56 percent and 14th in takeaways per game at 1.4. Above average, yes, but not amazing numbers for a Super Bowl team. The value will be on the UNDER here and, if I were to bet this prop, it would be on that side of things. 

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE